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Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Abera Bioscience AB is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · SE

AB Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Abera Bioscience AB

ABERA · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 0.6715 · Strongly overvalued (−91%)
!Quality 25/100
!Loss-making · -137.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 29.90 kr 3.50 Fair Value kr 0.6715 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.50 – kr 29.90 · fair‑value band kr 0.4420 – kr 0.8330 · the kr 7.68 price screens above the kr 0.6715 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Abera Bioscience AB, a platform and vaccine development company, research, design, and develops vaccines and immunotherapies based on its proprietary vaccine delivery platform in Sweden and internationally.

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Abera Bioscience AB, a platform and vaccine development company, research, design, and develops vaccines and immunotherapies based on its proprietary vaccine delivery platform in Sweden and internationally. The company's development platform named BERA, uses for the display of antigens at the surface of outer membrane vesicles derived from genetically optimized gram-negative bacteria. Its lead vaccine candidate is a universal pneumococcal vaccine based on the platform BERA. The company also develops projects in immuno-oncology, Chlamydia, ETEC, Covid-19, and Tuberculosis. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Uppsala, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA) currently trades at kr 7.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.6715, implying the stock looks roughly 1,044.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.4420 (bear) to kr 0.8330 (bull), the price of kr 7.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Abera Bioscience AB reported revenue of 0 SEK in FY2025 versus 0 SEK in FY2022. Reported net income was −10.5M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 172M SEK (≈ $17.8M) · P/S ratio 14.6 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.9200 · Net margin −137% · Return on equity −101% · Return on assets (EBIT) −81.9% · Operating margin −164% · Revenue (TTM) 11.8M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −91%, ABERA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.4420 Fair Value kr 0.6715 Bull kr 0.8330
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4700 kr 0.6300 kr 0.9400 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4700 kr 0.6300 kr 0.9400 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ABERA screens 1,044% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 645 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −48% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −137% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −164% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.52× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $515.44 $566.98 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $781.49 $1,241 +59%
argenx SE ARGX €853.80 €752.12 −12%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥247.30 ¥124.62 −50%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,415,000 KRW 1,556,500 KRW +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $248.68 $211.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.61 $24.22 −59%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 178,200 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $96.73 $63.31 −35%
Incyte Corporation INCY $121.47 $204.93 +69%

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Abera Bioscience AB · Fair Value
kr 0.6715 −1044%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abera Bioscience AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABERA

Frequently asked questions

Is Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.6715 versus a price of kr 7.68, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABERA?
Our model-based fair value for Abera Bioscience AB is kr 0.6715 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 7.68.
What is the quality score of ABERA?
Abera Bioscience AB has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.6715 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.4420, optimistic scenario kr 0.8330. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Abera Bioscience AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.6715, about −91% upside versus a price of kr 7.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.4420, optimistic scenario kr 0.8330. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
Abera Bioscience AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.8M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Abera Bioscience AB it is kr 0.6715 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of kr 7.68. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Abera Bioscience AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, ABERA trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 7.68, fair value kr 0.6715, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABERA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 7.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.6715). For Abera Bioscience AB the two are kr 7.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Abera Bioscience AB worth?
The market values Abera Bioscience AB at about 172M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is kr 7.68; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.6715 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABERA?
Our models span a range for Abera Bioscience AB: cautious scenario kr 0.4420, base kr 0.6715, optimistic kr 0.8330 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price kr 7.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Abera Bioscience AB (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −101.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABERA from its 52-week high?
Abera Bioscience AB trades at kr 7.68, about 24% below its 52-week high of kr 10.05 and 49% above the low of kr 5.15 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.6715 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Abera Bioscience AB?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, BeOne Medicines AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Abera Bioscience AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price kr 7.68, calculated fair value kr 0.6715 (−91%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABERA calculated?
We run Abera Bioscience AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.6715, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Abera Bioscience AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Abera Bioscience AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.8330). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.4420 to kr 0.8330) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Abera Bioscience AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
The market capitalisation of Abera Bioscience AB is 172M SEK (≈ $17.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Abera Bioscience AB is 14.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
Earnings per share at Abera Bioscience AB are kr −0.9200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
The net margin of Abera Bioscience AB is −137% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Abera Bioscience AB is −101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Abera Bioscience AB is −81.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
The operating margin of Abera Bioscience AB is −164% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA)?
Revenue at Abera Bioscience AB is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Abera Bioscience AB (ABERA) generate?
The free cash flow of Abera Bioscience AB is −3.7M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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