Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹73.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹32.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹3.54 to ₹32.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹53.89 – ₹130.50 · fair‑value band ₹3.54 – ₹32.07 · the ₹60.24 price screens above the ₹17.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) currently trades at ₹60.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹17.68, implying the stock looks roughly 70.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited generated revenue of ₹81.8B at a net margin of -9.5%. Revenue grew 15.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.7%. Net debt stands at ₹57.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹3.54 (bear case) to ₹32.07 (bull case); at ₹60.24, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -71%, ABFRL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹20.80) versus DCF Models (₹3.37). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited manufactures, distributes, and retails fashion apparel and accessories in India and internationally. It operates in Pantaloons and Ethnic & Others segments.
Full company description
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited manufactures, distributes, and retails fashion apparel and accessories in India and internationally. It operates in Pantaloons and Ethnic & Others segments. The company offers shirts, trousers, denims, t-shirts, dresses, suits and blazers, casuals, ceremonial, and party wear; shorts, joggers, track pants, sweatshirts, jackets, polos, chinos, kurtas and bottom wear, occasion wear, festive ensembles, classic shirts, logo T-shirts, casual pants, lehengas and kurta sets, innerwear, athleisure wear, workwear, tops, sleepwear, crops tops, skirts, jeans, and sportswear; and accessories, as well as footwear, handbags, bed linen, towels, smart table linen, dressy cushion covers, and others. It markets its products under the Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, and Peter England brands, as well as The Collective, Ralph Lauren, Hackett London, Ted Baker, and Fred Perry luxury brands; and ethnic wear products under the Sabyasachi, S&N' by Shantnu & Nikhil, Tasva, Tarun Tahiliani, House of Masaba, and Jaypore brands, as well as operates fashion store under the Pantaloons brand name. The company was formerly known as Pantaloons Fashion & Retail Limited and changed its name to Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited in January 2016. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited reported revenue of ₹81.8B in FY2026 versus ₹81.4B in FY2022, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −₹7.8B in FY2026.
ABFRL screens 71% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →
Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 163.45 | kr 165.47 | +1% |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation RL | $374.08 | $224.21 | -40% |
| Moncler S.p.A MONC | €52.08 | €50.69 | -3% |
| Gildan Activewear Inc GIL | C$73.17 | C$32.85 | -55% |
| LPP SA LPP | 19,380 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -8% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.44 | HK$5.92 | +33% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.85 | ¥5.59 | -29% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹39,900 | ₹12,395 | -69% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.92 | +76% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 87,600 KRW | 196,629 KRW | +124% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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