Absolent Group AB (ABSO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Absolent Group AB SEK 130, price SEK 205, upside -36.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Absolent Air Care Group AB (publ) designs, develops, sells, installs, and maintains air filtration units.
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Absolent Air Care Group AB (publ) designs, develops, sells, installs, and maintains air filtration units. Its air cleaning solutions are used to separate air pollutants across a range of industries, including aerospace, automotive, chemical, defense, electronics, pharmaceuticals, woodworking, and food, as well as in power generation, contract manufacturing, dental laboratories, hotels, and restaurants. The company's commercial kitchen systems handle harmful airborne particles and gases generated from cooking activities, and its product portfolio comprises hoods, filtration technologies, and fire suppression systems. Absolent Air Care Group AB (publ) operates in Sweden, the United Kingdom, Canada, China, the United States, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland, France, India, Switzerland, Japan, Hong Kong, and Italy. The company was formerly known as Absolent Group AB (publ) and changed its name to Absolent Air Care Group AB (publ) in May 2021. Founded in 1993, it is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden. Absolent Air Care Group AB (publ) operates as a subsidiary of Mexab Industri AB.
Stock analysis
Absolent Group AB (ABSO) currently trades at kr 205.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 130.15, implying the stock looks roughly 57.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 148.59 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 205.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 55.04, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 97.62 (bear) to kr 162.69 (bull), the price of kr 205.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Absolent Group AB reported revenue of 1.3B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was 70.2M SEK in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.3B SEK (≈ $234M) · P/E ratio 28.8 · P/S ratio 1.58 · EPS (TTM) kr 7.11 · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3% · Operating margin 11.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −37%, ABSO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 97.62Fair Value kr 130.15Bull kr 162.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 5.22 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4% vs 2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Pollution & Treatment Controls · 91 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Absolent Group AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABSO
Frequently asked questions
Is Absolent Group AB (ABSO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 130.15 versus a price of kr 205.00, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABSO?
Our model-based fair value for Absolent Group AB is kr 130.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 205.00.
What is the quality score of ABSO?
Absolent Group AB has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 130.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 97.62, optimistic scenario kr 162.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Absolent Group AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 130.15, about −37% upside versus a price of kr 205.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 97.62, optimistic scenario kr 162.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
Absolent Group AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Absolent Group AB would have to grow free cash flow by +16.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ABSO use?
Our models discount Absolent Group AB at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Absolent Group AB that is +16.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Absolent Group AB (ABSO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Absolent Group AB grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies +16.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Absolent Group AB (ABSO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Absolent Group AB (+16.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.40 %: that much free cash flow Absolent Group AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Absolent Group AB it is kr 130.15 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 205.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Absolent Group AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ABSO trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 205.00, fair value kr 130.15, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABSO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 205.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 130.15). For Absolent Group AB the two are kr 74.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Absolent Group AB worth?
The market values Absolent Group AB at about 2.3B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 205.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 130.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABSO?
Our models span a range for Absolent Group AB: cautious scenario kr 97.62, base kr 130.15, optimistic kr 162.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 205.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABSO?
Absolent Group AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 130.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 16.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Absolent Group AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.6%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABSO from its 52-week high?
Absolent Group AB trades at kr 205.00, about 25% below its 52-week high of kr 273.57 and 20% above the low of kr 171.23 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 130.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Absolent Group AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Veralto Corporation, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation, CECO Environmental Corp, Fujian Longking Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Absolent Group AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 205.00, calculated fair value kr 130.15 (−37%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABSO calculated?
We run Absolent Group AB through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 130.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Absolent Group AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 205.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 130.15, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Absolent Group AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 162.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Absolent Group AB (ABSO) come from?
Earnings per share at Absolent Group AB grew +10.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.7 %, EBIT margin −2.6 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Absolent Group AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
The market capitalisation of Absolent Group AB is 2.3B SEK (≈ $234M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Absolent Group AB is 1.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
Earnings per share at Absolent Group AB are kr 7.11 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
The net margin of Absolent Group AB is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Absolent Group AB is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Absolent Group AB is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
The operating margin of Absolent Group AB is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
Revenue at Absolent Group AB is growing −0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Absolent Group AB (ABSO)?
Earnings per share at Absolent Group AB are growing +79.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Absolent Group AB (ABSO) carry?
The net debt of Absolent Group AB is 253M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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