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Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Abacus Global Management, Inc. stock $3.37, price $8.75, that is 61.5% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

AG Abacus Global Management, Inc. logo Broad data Nov 6, 2026

Abacus Global Management, Inc.

ABX · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 61% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin (TTM)
Broad data
Revenue last quarter +30% vs. a year ago.
Moderate debt
2.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Moderate moat 54/100 · thin data
Insiders sold $2.9M (6M)
Fair value $3.37 · Strongly overvalued (−61.5%)
Quality 39/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.10 $4.50 Fair Value $3.37 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.50 – $12.10 · fair‑value band $2.36 – $4.33 · the $8.75 price screens above the $3.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Abacus Global Management, Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager and market maker in the United States, Luxembourg, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Asset Management, Life Solutions, and Technology Services segments.

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The Asset Management segment provides asset management services to investors investing in alternative investment and exchange-traded funds. The Life Solutions segment originates life insurance policy settlements between investors or buyers, and the sellers, who are often the original policy owners.

The Technology Services segment provides real-time mortality verification, missing participant verification, and other services specific to the life insurance market services to customers on a contract basis.

It sells its products through financial advisors or agents, direct-to-consumer, and traditional life settlements intermediaries. The company was formerly known as Abacus Life, Inc. and changed its name to Abacus Global Management, Inc. in February 2025.

Abacus Global Management, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

Stock analysis

Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX) currently trades at $8.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.37, 61% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $3.84 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $8.75 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6800, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $2.36 (bear) to $4.33 (bull), the price of $8.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Abacus Global Management, Inc. reported revenue of $235M in FY2025 versus $22.6M in FY2021, a compound +79.6%/yr. Reported net income was $36.5M in FY2025, compounding +146.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap $873M Small · P/E ratio 32.4 · P/S ratio 3.27 · EPS (TTM) $0.2700 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 24.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −61%, ABX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.36 Fair Value $3.37 Bull $4.33
Price $8.75 · Downside -61.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0595 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $3.56 $3.84 $4.33 74
Gordon GGM $1.73 $3.37 $4.97 65
DDM Multi-Stage $1.73 $2.95 $3.57 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.73 $3.37 $4.97 65
DDM Multi-Stage $1.73 $2.95 $3.57 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.64 $4.86 $6.07 63
P/B Multiple $1.07 $1.42 $1.78 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5100 $0.6800 $1.02 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.56 $3.84 $4.33 74

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 41
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 56
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 56
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 76
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 37
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $2.9M and none bought.

  • SaleSean McNealy10% owner4× since Feb 18, 2026: 144,373 shares, avg. $8.74$1.3MSep 23, 2026
  • SaleKevin Scott Kirby10% owner4× since Feb 18, 2026: 144,965 shares, avg. $8.74$1.3MSep 23, 2026
  • SaleMatthew Ganovsky10% owner4× since Feb 18, 2026: 144,831 shares, avg. $8.74$1.3MSep 23, 2026
  • SaleWilliam Hugh McCauley JRCOO and CFO125,000 shares at $9.10$1.1MAug 20, 2026
  • SaleJay J JacksonChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner196,000 shares at $8.77$1.7MAug 12, 2026

Plus 11 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+101.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+98.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 37%

ABX screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with Ping An Insurance (Group) Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Life · 77 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −61.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 6.6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 10.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 29.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 29.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.69× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 32.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.27× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 52
HEALTH (low debt)65 · sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)46 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥54.35 ¥66.91 +23% vs ABX
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥35.85 ¥40.47 +13% vs ABX
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹408.00 ₹299.42 −27% vs ABX
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 112.00 TWD 71.53 TWD −36% vs ABX
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC $43.99 $27.02 −39% vs ABX
Aflac Incorporated AFL $126.24 $67.30 −47% vs ABX
AIA Group 1299 HK$78.85 HK$41.63 −47% vs ABX
MetLife, Inc MET $99.75 $48.73 −51% vs ABX
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$90.09 C$41.76 −54% vs ABX
Power Corporation POW C$91.75 C$33.01 −64% vs ABX

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Abacus Global Management, Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abacus Global Management, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABX

Frequently asked questions

Is Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.37 versus a price of $8.75, about 61% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABX?
Our model-based fair value for Abacus Global Management, Inc. is $3.37 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.75.
What is the quality score of ABX?
Abacus Global Management, Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.37 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.36, optimistic scenario $4.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Abacus Global Management, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.37, about 61% lower versus a price of $8.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.36, optimistic scenario $4.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
Abacus Global Management, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $267M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Abacus Global Management, Inc. pay a dividend?
Abacus Global Management, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Abacus Global Management, Inc. it is $3.37 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $8.75. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Abacus Global Management, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, ABX trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.75, fair value $3.37, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.37). For Abacus Global Management, Inc. the two are $5.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Abacus Global Management, Inc. worth?
The market values Abacus Global Management, Inc. at about $873M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $8.75; our models calculate a fair value of $3.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABX?
Our models span a range for Abacus Global Management, Inc.: cautious scenario $2.36, base $3.37, optimistic $4.33 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $8.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABX?
Abacus Global Management, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.4 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.37 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 17.2 (reported for FY2025: 23.7). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2022, FY2023 ex one-offs: 72.8. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 9.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Abacus Global Management, Inc. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 0.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABX from its 52-week high?
Abacus Global Management, Inc. trades at $8.75, about 27% below its 52-week high of $12.00 and 71% above the low of $5.12 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Abacus Global Management, Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Ping An Insurance (Group) Company, China Life Insurance Company, AIA Group, Manulife Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Abacus Global Management, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $8.75, calculated fair value $3.37 (−61%), Quality Score 39/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABX calculated?
We run Abacus Global Management, Inc. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Abacus Global Management, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $8.75. Our model-based fair value is $3.37, about 61% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Abacus Global Management, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($2.36 to $4.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Abacus Global Management, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
The market capitalisation of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is $873M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is 3.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
Earnings per share at Abacus Global Management, Inc. are $0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
The dividend yield of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is 2.3% (payout 53.7%, on adjusted earnings, reported 74.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
The net margin of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is 10.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is 24.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
The operating margin of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is 29.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
Revenue at Abacus Global Management, Inc. is growing +29.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +73.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX)?
Earnings per share at Abacus Global Management, Inc. are growing −61.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX) generate?
The free cash flow of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is −$26.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX) carry?
The net debt of Abacus Global Management, Inc. is $373M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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