Acorn Energy, Inc (ACFN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $43.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +13.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.32 – $30.58 · fair‑value band $9.54 – $14.99 · the $19.00 price screens above the $12.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Acorn Energy, Inc (ACFN) currently trades at $19.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.27, implying the stock looks roughly 35.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Acorn Energy, Inc generated revenue of $10.6M at a net margin of 18.6%. Revenue declined 28.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.54 (bear case) to $14.99 (bull case); at $19.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -35%, ACFN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($16.82) versus Dividend Discount ($2.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Acorn Energy, Inc., through its subsidiary, develops and markets wireless remote monitoring and control systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Power Generation ("PG") and Cathodic Protection ("CP").
Full company description
Acorn Energy, Inc., through its subsidiary, develops and markets wireless remote monitoring and control systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Power Generation ("PG") and Cathodic Protection ("CP"). The company offers wireless remote monitoring and control systems and IoT applications for residential and commercial/industrial power generation equipment; and power generator monitors and AIRGuard products, which remotely monitors and controls industrial air compressors. It also provides OmniPro commercial monitor and the Omni residential monitor platforms designed to enhance connectivity, reliability and performance in remote monitoring systems; and remote monitoring and control products for cathodic protection systems on gas pipelines serving the gas utilities market and pipeline operators; and first RAD, a remote AC mitigation disconnect that mounts onto existing solid-state decouplers in the field and can remotely disconnect/connect these AC mitigation tools, as well as offers solutions to remotely monitor and control rectifiers, test stations, and bonds. In addition, it offers monitoring devices for generators, industrial air compressors and annunciator products. The company has a strategic partnership with AIO Systems, Ltd. to expand the company's infrastructure asset management technology offerings for cell towers, data centers, and utility assets in North America. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Wilmington, Delaware.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Acorn Energy, Inc reported revenue of $11.5M in FY2025 versus $6.8M in FY2021, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5M in FY2025.
ACFN screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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