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Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Acorn Energy, Inc. $16.31, price $20.80, upside -21.6%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US0048481073

AE Acorn Energy, Inc. logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Acorn Energy, Inc.

ACFN · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $16.31 · Overvalued (−22%)
✓Quality 66/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 18.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$30.58 $4.32 Fair Value $16.31 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.32 – $30.58 · fair‑value band $11.39 – $22.92 · the $20.80 price screens above the $16.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Acorn Energy, Inc., through its subsidiary, develops and markets wireless remote monitoring and control systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Power Generation ("PG") and Cathodic Protection ("CP").

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Acorn Energy, Inc., through its subsidiary, develops and markets wireless remote monitoring and control systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Power Generation ("PG") and Cathodic Protection ("CP"). The company offers wireless remote monitoring and control systems and IoT applications for residential and commercial/industrial power generation equipment; and power generator monitors and AIRGuard products, which remotely monitors and controls industrial air compressors. It also provides OmniPro commercial monitor and the Omni residential monitor platforms designed to enhance connectivity, reliability and performance in remote monitoring systems; and remote monitoring and control products for cathodic protection systems on gas pipelines serving the gas utilities market and pipeline operators; and first RAD, a remote AC mitigation disconnect that mounts onto existing solid-state decouplers in the field and can remotely disconnect/connect these AC mitigation tools, as well as offers solutions to remotely monitor and control rectifiers, test stations, and bonds. In addition, it offers monitoring devices for generators, industrial air compressors and annunciator products. The company has a strategic partnership with AIO Systems, Ltd. to expand the company's infrastructure asset management technology offerings for cell towers, data centers, and utility assets in North America. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Wilmington, Delaware.

Stock analysis

Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock (ACFN) currently trades at $20.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.31, implying the stock looks roughly 27.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $23.21 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the $20.80 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.20, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $11.39 (bear) to $22.92 (bull), the price of $20.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $11.5M in FY2025 versus $6.8M in FY2021, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $52.8M · P/E ratio 27.0 · P/S ratio 5.91 · EPS (TTM) $0.7700 · Net margin 21.9% · Return on equity 27.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin −5.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −22%, ACFN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $11.39 Fair Value $16.31 Bull $22.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5654 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $10.34 $14.34 $19.99 81
Growth DCF $10.51 $14.11 $18.94 79
Owner Earnings $12.57 $17.61 $24.73 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.34 $14.34 $19.99 81
Owner Earnings $12.57 $17.61 $24.73 77
5Y Revenue Exit $9.23 $13.08 $17.87 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.22 $16.72 $22.97 75
5Y P/E Exit $16.61 $26.53 $36.72 70
10Y Revenue Exit $9.36 $12.88 $17.35 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.80 $15.32 $21.06 69
10Y P/E Exit $14.12 $21.88 $31.07 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.80 $18.49 $24.24 65
Lynch FV $3.64 $5.20 $6.76 61
PEG = 1.0 $3.64 $5.20 $6.76 57
EPV $8.25 $9.28 $10.16 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.01 $28.02 $35.02 63
P/S Multiple $12.76 $17.01 $21.26 58
P/B Multiple $12.76 $17.01 $21.26 55
EV/EBIT $16.04 $20.79 $25.55 66
EV/EBITDA $13.09 $16.86 $20.64 67
EV/Revenue $8.98 $12.07 $15.16 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.64 $2.20 $3.29 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.51 $14.11 $18.94 79
Rev-Margin DCF $9.23 $13.16 $17.54 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.56 $9.12 $62.36 58
ROIC Compounder $8.50 $9.86 $11.24 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.25 $23.21 $30.18 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.9% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.2% (2020) → 17.3% (2025)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.7% a year for the price.

ACFN screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 159 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Above median
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −28% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.40× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.98× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 25.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 35.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.26× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥59.95 ¥19.61 −67%
Fortive Corporation FTV $55.95 $34.86 −38%
Trimble Inc TRMB $59.30 $29.11 −51%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $58.19 $38.50 −34%
Wuhan Guide Infrared Co 002414 ¥12.23 ¥9.52 −22%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACFN

Frequently asked questions

Is Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.31 versus a price of $20.80, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACFN?
Our model-based fair value for Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is $16.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.80.
What is the quality score of ACFN?
Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.39, optimistic scenario $22.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.31, about −22% upside versus a price of $20.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.39, optimistic scenario $22.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock would have to grow free cash flow by +9.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACFN use?
Our models discount Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock that is +9.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock grew +14.2 % a year. The price currently implies +9.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock (+9.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.90 %: that much free cash flow Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock it is $16.31 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $20.80. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ACFN trades above its calculated fair value: price $20.80, fair value $16.31, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACFN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.31). For Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock the two are $4.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock at about $52.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $20.80; our models calculate a fair value of $16.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACFN?
Our models span a range for Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $11.39, base $16.31, optimistic $22.92 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $20.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACFN?
Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.3, P/B 6.4, P/S 5.0, EV/EBITDA 35.3.
What is the PEG ratio of ACFN?
The PEG ratio of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is 3.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 27.4%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACFN from its 52-week high?
Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock trades at $20.80, about 29% below its 52-week high of $29.28 and 62% above the low of $12.81 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $20.80, calculated fair value $16.31 (−22%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACFN calculated?
We run Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $20.80. Our model-based fair value is $16.31, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($11.39 to $22.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
The market capitalisation of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is $52.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is 5.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
Earnings per share at Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock are $0.7700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
The net margin of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is 21.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is 27.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
The operating margin of Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is −5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
Revenue at Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock is growing −28.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)?
Earnings per share at Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock are growing −79.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN) hold?
Acorn Energy, Inc. Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $3.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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