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Acacia Research Corporation (ACTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $452M

AR Acacia Research Corporation logo Acacia Research Corporation ACTG · US
Price$4.82
Fair Value$4.04
Upside-16.2%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -8.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range $4.04 – $4.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $4.71 to $4.04 (−14.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from $4.04 (bear) to $4.77 (bull), base $4.04. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.15 $2.84 Fair Value $4.04 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.84 – $7.15 · fair‑value band $4.04 – $4.77 · the $4.82 price screens above the $4.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Acacia Research Corporation (ACTG) currently trades at $4.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.04, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Acacia Research Corporation generated revenue of $215M at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue declined 56.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $202M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.04 (bear case) to $4.77 (bull case); at $4.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -16%, ACTG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.95 $15.58 $24.43 80
Residual Income $3.94 $3.81 $3.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.56 $6.83 $9.60 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.47 $14.27 $25.60 38
Owner Earnings $8.60 $15.44 $28.13 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.32 $6.24 $8.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.34 $12.34 $20.16 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.31 $12.09 $18.36 38
10Y Revenue Exit $7.05 $9.76 $10.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.09 $15.70 $26.66 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.41 $13.68 $21.77 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.53 $10.65 $14.94 54
Lynch FV $5.50 $7.86 $10.21 50
PEG = 1.0 $5.50 $7.86 $10.21 46
EPV $2.49 $2.52 $2.55 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.54 $4.71 $5.89 63
P/S Multiple $2.86 $3.82 $4.77 58
P/B Multiple $2.86 $3.82 $4.77 55
EV/EBIT $3.07 $3.35 $3.63 53
EV/EBITDA $7.24 $8.92 $10.59 54
EV/Revenue $2.83 $3.08 $3.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.81 $3.77 $5.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.95 $15.58 $24.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.56 $6.83 $9.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.94 $3.81 $3.16 76
ROIC Compounder $2.49 $2.52 $2.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.19 $10.28 $13.36 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($12.34) versus Economic Profit ($2.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $215M
Revenue growth (YoY) -56.4%
Net margin -8.5%
Return on equity -2.9%
Free cash flow $58.5M FY2025
Operating margin -15.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1900
EPS growth (YoY) -97.5%
Net cash $202M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Acacia Research Corporation operates as an acquirer and operator of businesses across industrial, energy, and technology sectors in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through four segments: Intellectual Property Operations, Industrial Operations, Energy Operations, and Manufacturing Operations.

Full company description

Acacia Research Corporation operates as an acquirer and operator of businesses across industrial, energy, and technology sectors in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through four segments: Intellectual Property Operations, Industrial Operations, Energy Operations, and Manufacturing Operations. The company is involved in investing in IP; and licensing and enforcement of patented technologies. It also designs and manufactures printers, including hardware and embedded software, as well as consumable products, such as inked ribbons for various industrial printing applications. In addition, the company acquires, explores, develops, and produces oil and natural gas resources located in Texas and Oklahoma. Further, it designs and manufactures purchase brochure, folder, and applications display holders; plastic injection-molded office supply, as well as arts, crafts, and education products; plastic and aluminum air venting and air control products; extruded vinyl chair mats; safety reflectors for bicycles; and emergency warning triangles, mud flaps, and splash guards for the heavy duty truck market and transportation industry. Acacia Research Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Acacia Research Corporation reported revenue of $285M in FY2025 versus $88.0M in FY2021, a compound +34.2%/yr. Reported net income was $21.7M in FY2025, compounding −38.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$285M
Latest YoY
+133.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+68.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.1%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Revenue +34.2%/yr
FY21 $88.0M
FY22 $59.2M
FY23 $125M
FY24 $122M
FY25 $285M
Net income −38.3%/yr
FY21 $149M
FY22 −$125M
FY23 $67.1M
FY24 −$36.1M
FY25 $21.7M

ACTG screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Acacia Research Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACTG

Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 72 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -56% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 87.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 92 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ricoh Company RICO ¥15.33 ¥17.99 +17%
GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 ¥10.08 ¥6.90 -32%
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XGD Inc 300130 ¥19.90 ¥15.67 -21%
DOMS Industries Limited DOMS ₹2,260 ₹782.96 -65%
Hengbao Co 002104 ¥9.20 ¥1.66 -82%
Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥6.99 ¥1.75 -75%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥7.30 ¥3.11 -57%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.00 ¥1.73 -71%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥11.92 ¥21.12 +77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Acacia Research Corporation (ACTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.04 versus a price of $4.82, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACTG?
Our model-based fair value for Acacia Research Corporation is $4.04 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.82.
What is the quality score of ACTG?
Acacia Research Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Acacia Research Corporation (ACTG)?
Acacia Research Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $215M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACTG?
The net profit margin of Acacia Research Corporation is about -8.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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