Audinate Group Ltd (AD8) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Audinate Group Ltd A$2.11, price A$2.33, upside -9.4%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.75 – A$23.31 · fair‑value band A$1.53 – A$3.07 · the A$2.33 price screens above the A$2.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Audinate Group Limited engages in develops and sells digital audio visual (AV) networking solutions Australia and internationally. It provides Dante, a technology platform that distributes digital audio and video signals over computer networks to original equipment manufacturers.
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Audinate Group Limited engages in develops and sells digital audio visual (AV) networking solutions Australia and internationally. It provides Dante, a technology platform that distributes digital audio and video signals over computer networks to original equipment manufacturers. The company provides software products, such as Dante Controller, a real-time network monitoring device; Dante Virtual Soundcard that provides access to various audio devices on the network; Dante Via, a software application that route audio between applications, devices connected to computer; Dante Studio; Dante Director, a cloud-based SaaS application; Dante Managed API; Dante connect, a cloud-based broadcast production; and Dante Domain Manager, as well as Dante AVIO adapters. It also, offers Dante-enabled products; and solutions for manufacturers. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Surry Hills, Australia.
Stock analysis
Audinate Group Ltd (AD8) currently trades at A$2.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.11, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$2.04 per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the A$2.33 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.7900, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$1.53 (bear) to A$3.07 (bull), the price of A$2.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Audinate Group Ltd reported revenue of A$62.1M in FY2025 versus A$33.4M in FY2021, a compound +16.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$6.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$194M (≈ $135M) · P/S ratio 2.98 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.1800 · Net margin −10.3% · Return on equity −9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% · Operating margin −46.7% · Revenue (TTM) A$65.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −9%, AD8 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$1.53Fair Value A$2.11Bull A$3.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.9% (2020) → −24.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.3% a year for the price and +6.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 639 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−9.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−8.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−22.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−46.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Audinate Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AD8
Frequently asked questions
Is Audinate Group Ltd (AD8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$2.11 versus a price of A$2.33, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AD8?
Our model-based fair value for Audinate Group Ltd is A$2.11 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.33.
What is the quality score of AD8?
Audinate Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$2.11 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.53, optimistic scenario A$3.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Audinate Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$2.11, about −9% upside versus a price of A$2.33 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$1.53, optimistic scenario A$3.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
Audinate Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$65.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Audinate Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AD8 use?
Our models discount Audinate Group Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Audinate Group Ltd that is +5.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Audinate Group Ltd (AD8) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Audinate Group Ltd grew +15.4 % a year. The price currently implies +5.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Audinate Group Ltd (+5.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.16 %: that much free cash flow Audinate Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Audinate Group Ltd it is A$2.11 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$2.33. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Audinate Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AD8 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$2.33, fair value A$2.11, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AD8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$2.11). For Audinate Group Ltd the two are A$0.2200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Audinate Group Ltd worth?
The market values Audinate Group Ltd at about A$194M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$2.33; our models calculate a fair value of A$2.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AD8?
Our models span a range for Audinate Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.53, base A$2.11, optimistic A$3.07 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$2.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Audinate Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −9.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AD8 from its 52-week high?
Audinate Group Ltd trades at A$2.33, about 66% below its 52-week high of A$6.89 and 33% above the low of A$1.75 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$2.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Audinate Group Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Audinate Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$2.33, calculated fair value A$2.11 (−9%), Quality Score 42/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AD8 calculated?
We run Audinate Group Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$2.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Audinate Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was A$2.33. Our model-based fair value is A$2.11, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Audinate Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$1.53 to A$3.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Audinate Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
The market capitalisation of Audinate Group Ltd is A$194M (≈ $135M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Audinate Group Ltd is 2.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
Earnings per share at Audinate Group Ltd are A$−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
The net margin of Audinate Group Ltd is −10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Audinate Group Ltd is −9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Audinate Group Ltd is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
The operating margin of Audinate Group Ltd is −46.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
Revenue at Audinate Group Ltd is growing +12.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Audinate Group Ltd (AD8)?
Earnings per share at Audinate Group Ltd are growing −52.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Audinate Group Ltd (AD8) hold?
Audinate Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$59.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026