ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ADC India Communications Limited-$ stock ₹697, price ₹1,990, upside -65.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹202.03 – ₹2,551 · fair‑value band ₹442.36 – ₹1,053 · the ₹1,990 price screens above the ₹696.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA) currently trades at ₹1,990, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹696.98, 65.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹994.90 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹1,990 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹168.29, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹442.36 (bear) to ₹1,053 (bull), the price of ₹1,990 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Information Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
ADC India Communications Limited-$ reported revenue of ₹2.0B in FY2026 versus ₹1.2B in FY2022, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹189M in FY2026, compounding +22.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹8.7B (≈ $91.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 40.6 · P/S ratio 3.98 · EPS (TTM) ₹48.98 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 24.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 72 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −65%, ADCINDIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹442.36Fair Value ₹696.98Bull₹1,053
Price ₹1,990 · Upside -65.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹27.78 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+38.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.4% a year for the price.
Compare ADC India Communications Limited-$ with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Communications Equipment” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Information Technology · 3561 stocks
Beats the sector median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−65.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)24.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets14.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)16.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)40.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)40.6× · Pricier than median
P/B10.04× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.98× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow67.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA31.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 54
PAST (return on equity)97· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 28
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ADC India Communications Limited-$ Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADCINDIA
Frequently asked questions
Is ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹696.98 versus a price of ₹1,990, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADCINDIA?
Our model-based fair value for ADC India Communications Limited-$ is ₹696.98 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,990.
What is the quality score of ADCINDIA?
ADC India Communications Limited-$ has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹696.98 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹442.36, optimistic scenario ₹1,053. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ADC India Communications Limited-$ stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹696.98, about −65% upside versus a price of ₹1,990 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹442.36, optimistic scenario ₹1,053. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
ADC India Communications Limited-$ reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does ADC India Communications Limited-$ pay a dividend?
ADC India Communications Limited-$ currently shows a dividend yield of 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ADC India Communications Limited-$ would have to grow free cash flow by +48.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.3 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ADCINDIA use?
Our models discount ADC India Communications Limited-$ at 15.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.03, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ADC India Communications Limited-$ that is +48.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ADC India Communications Limited-$ grew +27.3 % a year. The price currently implies +48.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.42 %: that much free cash flow ADC India Communications Limited-$ produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ADC India Communications Limited-$ it is ₹696.98 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of ₹1,990. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ADC India Communications Limited-$ stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, ADCINDIA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,990, fair value ₹696.98, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADCINDIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,990); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹696.98). For ADC India Communications Limited-$ the two are ₹1,293 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ADC India Communications Limited-$ worth?
The market values ADC India Communications Limited-$ at about ₹8.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,990; our models calculate a fair value of ₹696.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADCINDIA?
Our models span a range for ADC India Communications Limited-$: cautious scenario ₹442.36, base ₹696.98, optimistic ₹1,053 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price ₹1,990). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ADCINDIA?
ADC India Communications Limited-$ trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.6 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹696.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.0, P/S 4.0, EV/EBITDA 31.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for ADC India Communications Limited-$ (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 24.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADCINDIA from its 52-week high?
ADC India Communications Limited-$ trades at ₹1,990, about 22% below its 52-week high of ₹2,551 and 69% above the low of ₹1,180 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹696.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ADC India Communications Limited-$?
From the same area (Information Technology) we also value VALIANT, SGNTE, BLUECLOUDS, CEINSYSTECH, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ADC India Communications Limited-$ stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price ₹1,990, calculated fair value ₹696.98 (−65%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADCINDIA calculated?
We run ADC India Communications Limited-$ through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹696.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. ADC India Communications Limited-$ itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ₹1,990. Our model-based fair value is ₹696.98, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ADC India Communications Limited-$ right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,053). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹442.36 to ₹1,053) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of ADC India Communications Limited-$
How large is the market capitalisation of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The market capitalisation of ADC India Communications Limited-$ is ₹8.7B (≈ $91.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ADC India Communications Limited-$ is 3.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
Earnings per share at ADC India Communications Limited-$ are ₹48.98 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The dividend yield of ADC India Communications Limited-$ is 0.2% (payout 9.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The net margin of ADC India Communications Limited-$ is 10.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ADC India Communications Limited-$ is 24.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ADC India Communications Limited-$ is 21.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
The operating margin of ADC India Communications Limited-$ is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
Revenue at ADC India Communications Limited-$ is growing +40.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ADC India Communications Limited-$ (ADCINDIA)?
Earnings per share at ADC India Communications Limited-$ are growing +72.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Oct 22, 2026