ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of ADF Foods Limited ₹156, price ₹271, upside -42.3%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹126.04 – ₹345.82 · fair‑value band ₹116.46 – ₹194.84 · the ₹270.60 price screens above the ₹156.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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ADF Foods Limited produces and exports ethnic and convenience food products in India and internationally. It operates through Process and Preserved Food, and Distribution Business segments.
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ADF Foods Limited produces and exports ethnic and convenience food products in India and internationally. It operates through Process and Preserved Food, and Distribution Business segments. The company offers frozen snacks, breads, vegetables, ready-to-eat food, meal accompaniments, pastes, cooking sauces, spices, sweets, roll and wraps, ready-to-cook frozen product, and pickles. It also provides ready-to-eat meals, frozen breads, snacks, wraps, rice, chutneys, frozen naans, and parathas. It offers its products under the Ashoka, Truly Indian, Camel, Aeroplane, and ADF Soul brand. The company was formerly known as American Dryfruits Ltd. and changed its name to ADF Foods Limited in March 2000. ADF Foods Limited was founded in 1932 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS) currently trades at ₹270.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹156.18, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹166.37 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹270.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹34.88, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹116.46 (bear) to ₹194.84 (bull), the price of ₹270.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
ADF Foods Limited reported revenue of ₹6.8B in FY2026 versus ₹4.1B in FY2022, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹899M in FY2026, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹32.8B (≈ $343M) · P/E ratio 33.0 · P/S ratio 4.35 · EPS (TTM) ₹8.19 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 13.2% · Return on equity 16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −42%, ADFFOODS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹116.46Fair Value ₹156.18Bull ₹194.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.45 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.3% vs 26.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 16%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−42.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)33.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.74× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.81× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA24.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)68· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹156.18 versus a price of ₹270.60, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADFFOODS?
Our model-based fair value for ADF Foods Limited is ₹156.18 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹270.60.
What is the quality score of ADFFOODS?
ADF Foods Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹156.18 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹116.46, optimistic scenario ₹194.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ADF Foods Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹156.18, about −42% upside versus a price of ₹270.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹116.46, optimistic scenario ₹194.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
ADF Foods Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does ADF Foods Limited pay a dividend?
ADF Foods Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ADF Foods Limited it is ₹156.18 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹270.60. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ADF Foods Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ADFFOODS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹270.60, fair value ₹156.18, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADFFOODS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹270.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹156.18). For ADF Foods Limited the two are ₹114.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ADF Foods Limited worth?
The market values ADF Foods Limited at about ₹32.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹270.60; our models calculate a fair value of ₹156.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADFFOODS?
Our models span a range for ADF Foods Limited: cautious scenario ₹116.46, base ₹156.18, optimistic ₹194.84 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹270.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ADFFOODS?
ADF Foods Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹156.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.7, P/S 4.8, EV/EBITDA 24.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
Balance-sheet figures for ADF Foods Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 16.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADFFOODS from its 52-week high?
ADF Foods Limited trades at ₹270.60, about 16% below its 52-week high of ₹320.40 and 71% above the low of ₹157.89 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹156.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ADF Foods Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ADF Foods Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹270.60, calculated fair value ₹156.18 (−42%), Quality Score 58/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADFFOODS calculated?
We run ADF Foods Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹156.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. ADF Foods Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹270.60. Our model-based fair value is ₹156.18, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ADF Foods Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹194.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS) come from?
Earnings per share at ADF Foods Limited grew +27.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.4 %, EBIT margin +24.0 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −9.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of ADF Foods Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
The market capitalisation of ADF Foods Limited is ₹32.8B (≈ $343M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ADF Foods Limited is 4.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
Earnings per share at ADF Foods Limited are ₹8.19 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
The dividend yield of ADF Foods Limited is 0.4% (payout 14.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
The net margin of ADF Foods Limited is 13.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ADF Foods Limited is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ADF Foods Limited is 19.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
The operating margin of ADF Foods Limited is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
Revenue at ADF Foods Limited is growing +23.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)?
Earnings per share at ADF Foods Limited are growing +57.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS) generate?
The free cash flow of ADF Foods Limited is −₹243M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS) hold?
ADF Foods Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹173M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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