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ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ADI Global Distribution Inc stock $16.59, price $17.48, that is 5.1% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

AG ADI Global Distribution Inc logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

ADI Global Distribution Inc

ADIG · US
Low Priority

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $16.59 · Fairly valued (−5.1%)
Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +14.0 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 27/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$28.27 $15.22 Fair Value $16.59 Jul 2026 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

3‑month range $15.22 – $28.27 · fair‑value band $14.63 – $18.21 · the $17.48 price screens above the $16.59 fair value. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

ADI Global Distribution Inc. operates as a distributor of security, AV, and smart living products in the United States and internationally. It sells video surveillance, power, automation, access control, AV, fire, intrusion, smart living, communications, and datacom and networking products.

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The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Melville, New York. ADI Global Distribution Inc. is a former subsidiary of Resideo Technologies, Inc.

Stock analysis

ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG) currently trades at $17.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.59, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.4%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $56.58 per share, and 3 of the 5 models we run sit above the $17.48 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $16.59, and 2 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $14.63 (bear) to $18.21 (bull), the price of $17.48 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ADI Global Distribution Inc reported revenue of $4.8B in FY2025 versus $3.6B in FY2023, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$261M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.3B Small · P/E ratio 32.4 · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) $−3.43 · Net margin −5.5% · Operating margin 2.3% · Revenue (TTM) $4.9B · Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −5%, ADIG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $14.63 Fair Value $16.59 Bull $18.21
Price $17.48 · Downside -5.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $14.63 $16.59 $18.21 64
EV/EBITDA $59.03 $78.71 $98.39 61
EV/EBIT $42.44 $56.58 $70.73 60
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $14.63 $16.59 $18.21 64
Multiples
EV/EBIT $42.44 $56.58 $70.73 60
EV/EBITDA $59.03 $78.71 $98.39 61
EV/Revenue $21.45 $30.65 $39.84 49
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $14.63 $16.59 $18.21 60

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 30
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 213 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −5.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 0.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 2.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 32.4× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)27 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)4 · sector 72
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sandisk Corporation SNDK $1,151 $2,256 +96% vs ADIG
HP Inc HPQ $28.78 $52.85 +84% vs ADIG
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$20.50 HK$33.71 +64% vs ADIG
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.91 ¥46.76 +34% vs ADIG
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.86 $161.40 −4% vs ADIG
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 318.00 TWD 213.20 TWD −33% vs ADIG
Western Digital Corporation WDC $366.11 $175.91 −52% vs ADIG
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $424.30 $195.72 −54% vs ADIG
Everpure, Inc P $126.98 $57.04 −55% vs ADIG
Seagate Technology Holdings STX $644.58 $208.25 −68% vs ADIG

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ADI Global Distribution Inc · Fair Value
$16.59 −5%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ADI Global Distribution Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADIG

Frequently asked questions

Is ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.59 versus a price of $17.48, about 5% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ADIG?
Our model-based fair value for ADI Global Distribution Inc is $16.59 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.48.
What is the quality score of ADIG?
ADI Global Distribution Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.59 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.63, optimistic scenario $18.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ADI Global Distribution Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.59, about 5% lower versus a price of $17.48 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $14.63, optimistic scenario $18.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
ADI Global Distribution Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ADI Global Distribution Inc it is $16.59 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $17.48. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ADI Global Distribution Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, ADIG trades above its calculated fair value: price $17.48, fair value $16.59, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADIG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.59). For ADI Global Distribution Inc the two are $0.8900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ADI Global Distribution Inc worth?
The market values ADI Global Distribution Inc at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $17.48; our models calculate a fair value of $16.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADIG?
Our models span a range for ADI Global Distribution Inc: cautious scenario $14.63, base $16.59, optimistic $18.21 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $17.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ADIG?
ADI Global Distribution Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.4 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.59 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
Which stocks are comparable to ADI Global Distribution Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Sandisk Corporation, Seagate Technology Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ADI Global Distribution Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $17.48, calculated fair value $16.59 (−5%), Quality Score 42/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADIG calculated?
We run ADI Global Distribution Inc through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. ADI Global Distribution Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $17.48. Our model-based fair value is $16.59, about 5% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ADI Global Distribution Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of ADI Global Distribution Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
The market capitalisation of ADI Global Distribution Inc is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ADI Global Distribution Inc is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
Earnings per share at ADI Global Distribution Inc are $−3.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
The net margin of ADI Global Distribution Inc is −5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the operating margin of ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
The operating margin of ADI Global Distribution Inc is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG)?
Revenue at ADI Global Distribution Inc is growing +0.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does ADI Global Distribution Inc (ADIG) generate?
The free cash flow of ADI Global Distribution Inc is −$576M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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