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Addiko Bank AG (ADKO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AT · Market cap €519M

AB Addiko Bank AG ADKO · VI
Price€26.00
Fair Value€29.66
Upside+14.1%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.5% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range €22.24 – €37.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −3.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from €22.24 (bear) to €37.07 (bull), base €29.66. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€29.00 €10.10 Fair Value €29.66 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €10.10 – €29.00 · fair‑value band €22.24 – €37.07 · the €26.00 price screens below the €29.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Addiko Bank AG (ADKO) currently trades at €26.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €29.66, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Addiko Bank AG generated revenue of €273M at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €22.24 (bear case) to €37.07 (bull case); at €26.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 14%, ADKO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €33.70 €33.54 €29.94 76
Gordon GGM €9.79 €14.77 €19.58 70
P/E Multiple €22.24 €29.66 €37.07 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.79 €14.77 €19.58 70
DDM Multi-Stage €9.79 €13.54 €17.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €22.24 €29.66 €37.07 63
P/B Multiple €29.09 €38.78 €48.48 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €23.29 €31.21 €46.58 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €33.70 €33.54 €29.94 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€33.54) versus Dividend Discount (€13.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €273M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net margin 14.5%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow −€107M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.8
More key figures
Operating margin 19.3%
EPS (TTM) €2.28
EPS growth (YoY) +12.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Addiko Bank AG provides various banking products and services in Croatia, Slovenia, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Austria, Germany, and Serbia. It operates through Consumer, Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SME), Mortgage, Large Corporates, and Public Finance segments.

Full company description

Addiko Bank AG provides various banking products and services in Croatia, Slovenia, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Austria, Germany, and Serbia. It operates through Consumer, Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SME), Mortgage, Large Corporates, and Public Finance segments. The company offers online and direct deposits; consumer and public finance, mortgage loans relating to real estate purchase or leveraging private real estate as collateral, unsecured personal loan products and working capital loans, and trade finance products. It serves private individuals, SMEs, entrepreneurs, ministries of finance, state enterprises, local governments, and public institutions. Addiko Bank AG is headquartered in Vienna, Austria.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Addiko Bank AG reported revenue of €323M in FY2025 versus €248M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was €44.0M in FY2025, compounding +34.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€323M
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+3.9%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 €248M
FY22 €255M
FY23 €299M
FY24 €322M
FY25 €323M
Net income +34.1%/yr
FY21 €13.6M
FY22 €25.7M
FY23 €41.1M
FY24 €45.4M
FY25 €44.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Addiko Bank AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADKO

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.19× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 18 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Addiko Bank AG (ADKO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €29.66 versus a price of €26.00, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ADKO?
Our model-based fair value for Addiko Bank AG is €29.66 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €26.00.
What is the quality score of ADKO?
Addiko Bank AG has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Addiko Bank AG (ADKO)?
Addiko Bank AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €273M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADKO?
The net profit margin of Addiko Bank AG is about 14.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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