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Adways Inc (ADWYF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $88.3M

AI Adways Inc logo Adways Inc ADWYF · US
Price$2.26
Fair Value$0.8800
Upside-61.0%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.90% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.6600 – $1.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $2.19 to $0.8800 (−59.8%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$2.26 $2.18 Fair Value $0.8800 May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range $2.18 – $2.26 · fair‑value band $0.6600 – $1.10 · the $2.26 price screens above the $0.8800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Adways Inc (ADWYF) currently trades at $2.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8800, implying the stock looks roughly 61.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Adways Inc generated revenue of $12.4B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6600 (bear case) to $1.10 (bull case); at $2.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -61%, ADWYF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $0.4653 $0.6646 $0.8641 68
ROIC Compounder $1.84 $1.87 $1.89 67
P/E Multiple $0.6600 $0.8800 $1.10 63
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.2720 $0.3324 $0.3740 54
EPV $1.84 $1.87 $1.89 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.6600 $0.8800 $1.10 63
P/S Multiple $0.5100 $0.6800 $0.8500 58
P/B Multiple $0.5100 $0.6800 $0.8500 55
EV/EBIT $2.13 $2.32 $2.51 53
EV/EBITDA $2.21 $2.42 $2.64 54
EV/Revenue $2.00 $2.18 $2.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.08 $1.45 $2.16 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.36 $1.23 $0.8250 61
ROIC Compounder $1.84 $1.87 $1.89 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.4653 $0.6646 $0.8641 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.45) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3324). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6%
Net margin 3.7%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow −$555M FY2025
P/E ratio 28.2
More key figures
Operating margin 16.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.0800
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +99.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Adways Inc. engages in advertisement platform, agency, and other businesses in Japan, China, Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Thailand.

Full company description

Adways Inc. engages in advertisement platform, agency, and other businesses in Japan, China, Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Thailand. It offers AppDriver and UNICORN smartphone advertising services; Smart-C mobile affiliate advertising services; and JANet affiliate advertising services; and sales and operation services of internet advertising using the group's ad platform. The company is also involved in startup investment, digital transformation business, lifestyle, and overseas businesses; and acts as an agent for the sale of advertising products and related services. Adways Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Shinjuku, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Adways Inc reported revenue of $12.2B in FY2025 versus $49.0B in FY2020, a compound −24.3%/yr. Reported net income was $253M in FY2025, compounding −29.2%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.2B
Latest YoY
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.3%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.0%
Revenue −24.3%/yr
FY20 $49.0B
FY22 $13.4B
FY23 $13.5B
FY24 $12.7B
FY25 $12.2B
Net income −29.2%/yr
FY20 $1.4B
FY22 $2.5B
FY23 $966M
FY24 −$473M
FY25 $253M

ADWYF screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adways Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADWYF

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 23 · sector 31
PAST 14 · sector 10
HEALTH 0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 18 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $354.46 $145.14 -59%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $669.21 $534.91 -20%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$460.20 HK$467.50 +2%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $485.38 $209.56 -57%
Baidu, Inc BIDU $113.30 $451.51 +299%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $195.34 $39.59 -80%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$44.70 HK$101.03 +126%
NAVER Corporation 035420 191,300 KRW 231,585 KRW +21%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$34.74 HK$65.78 +89%
REA Group REA A$149.14 A$88.53 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Adways Inc (ADWYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8800 versus a price of $2.26, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADWYF?
Our model-based fair value for Adways Inc is $0.8800 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.26.
What is the quality score of ADWYF?
Adways Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Adways Inc (ADWYF)?
Adways Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADWYF?
The net profit margin of Adways Inc is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Adways Inc pay a dividend?
Adways Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.90% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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