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Aland Equity Group (AEG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$67.7M

AE Aland Equity Group AEG · AU
PriceA$0.0780
Fair ValueA$0.0255
Upside-67.3%
Quality45/100
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Expensive Growth
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0278 – A$0.0278 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −4.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0278). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

A$0.1517 A$0.0087 Fair Value A$0.0255 May 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range A$0.0087 – A$0.1517 · the A$0.0780 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Aland Equity Group (AEG) currently trades at A$0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 67.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$1.0M. Revenue declined 30.2% year over year. Net debt stands at A$1.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -67%, AEG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 61

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$1.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -30.2%
Net margin -242%
Return on equity -1,390%
Free cash flow −A$1.8M FY2025
Operating margin -279%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
Net debt A$1.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aland Equity Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the stock market trading advice, research, and investor education services in Australia. It also engages in the capital raising and funds management activities. The company was formerly known as Equity Story Group Ltd and changed its name to Aland Equity Group Limited in December 2025.

Full company description

Aland Equity Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the stock market trading advice, research, and investor education services in Australia. It also engages in the capital raising and funds management activities. The company was formerly known as Equity Story Group Ltd and changed its name to Aland Equity Group Limited in December 2025. Aland Equity Group Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aland Equity Group reported revenue of A$1.2M in FY2025 versus A$1.1M in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 22/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$1.2M
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.2%
Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY21 A$1.1M
FY22 A$897K
FY23 A$1.1M
FY24 A$1.1M
FY25 A$1.2M
Net income
FY21 −A$537K
FY22 −A$2.0M
FY23 −A$2.6M
FY24 −A$1.9M
FY25 −A$1.6M

AEG screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aland Equity Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEG

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 427 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -37% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -30% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 47.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 96
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aland Equity Group (AEG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0255 versus a price of A$0.0780, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AEG?
Our model-based fair value for Aland Equity Group is A$0.0255 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0780.
What is the quality score of AEG?
Aland Equity Group has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aland Equity Group (AEG)?
Aland Equity Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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