Afcon Holdings (AFHL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · Il · Market cap 3.0B ILA
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from 191.38 ILA to 187.51 ILA (−2.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (291.40 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (103.19 ILA to 291.40 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 69.68 ILA – 564.52 ILA · fair‑value band 103.19 ILA – 291.40 ILA · the 502.00 ILA price screens above the 187.51 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Afcon Holdings (AFHL) currently trades at 502.00 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 187.51 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Afcon Holdings generated revenue of 1.7B ILA at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at 482M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 103.19 ILA (bear case) to 291.40 ILA (bull case); at 502.00 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -63%, AFHL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (231.73 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (45.44 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 89
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Afcon Holdings Ltd develops and executes solutions for construction projects in Israel and internationally. It provides electric charging solutions; generates electricity from wind energies; delivers hybrid systems and technological solutions for dealing with water and wastewater; and markets, sells, installs, and maintains green technologies.
Full company description
Afcon Holdings Ltd develops and executes solutions for construction projects in Israel and internationally. It provides electric charging solutions; generates electricity from wind energies; delivers hybrid systems and technological solutions for dealing with water and wastewater; and markets, sells, installs, and maintains green technologies. The company also conducts projects in the field of end-to-end communication solutions and security systems, as well as in energy storage and renewable energies; installs multimedia and low-voltage; and develops and delivers communication services, infrastructure, and telecom solutions. In addition, it plans and installs fire detection and extinguishing systems; provides technological solutions and products for very low voltage, control, and automation; conducts integrative security-related projects; technology-enhanced projects for electromechanical systems; and develops, produces, and installs peripheral electronic security and protection systems using advanced technologies. Further, the company set up and maintain parking system projects; develops solutions in monitoring and control systems; radars for securing open-space facilities; deals with construction and civil engineering and electro-mechanical systems; provides electricity, air conditioning, plumbing, cooling, and low voltage electricity services; and manufactures electric boards for high voltage gas-insulated switchgears (GIS) and air-insulated switchgears (AIS), and for low voltage. Additionally, it markets and distributes switching, control, communications, and electrical installation, as well as communication products; provides consultancy services and technical solutions; air conditioning and ventilation systems services; and develops and executes concession projects. The company was formerly known as Afcon Industries Group. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Petah Tikva, Israel. Afcon Holdings Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Shlomo Group.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Afcon Holdings reported revenue of 1.7B ILA in FY2025 versus 2.1B ILA in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was 77.0M ILA in FY2025, compounding −10.4%/yr from FY2021.
AFHL screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 626 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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