AGI Greenpac Limited (AGI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹46.0B

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The model range is unusually wide (₹369.61 to ₹1,001). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• Our model range runs from ₹369.61 (bear) to ₹1,001 (bull), base ₹634.24. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹143.63 – ₹1,273 · fair‑value band ₹369.61 – ₹1,001 · the ₹711.75 price screens above the ₹634.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

AGI Greenpac Limited (AGI) currently trades at ₹711.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹634.24, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AGI Greenpac Limited generated revenue of ₹27.6B at a net margin of 13.1%. Revenue grew 14.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at ₹1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹369.61 (bear case) to ₹1,001 (bull case); at ₹711.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -11%, AGI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹907.88) versus Asset-Based (₹249.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

AGI Greenpac Limited operates as a packaging products company in India and the United Arab Emirates. The company manufactures and markets containers and bottles, food jars, perfumery cosmetics, polyethylene terephthalate bottles, high density polyethylene bottles, polypropylene products, and security caps and closures products for use in beverages, liquor, …

Full company description

AGI Greenpac Limited operates as a packaging products company in India and the United Arab Emirates. The company manufactures and markets containers and bottles, food jars, perfumery cosmetics, polyethylene terephthalate bottles, high density polyethylene bottles, polypropylene products, and security caps and closures products for use in beverages, liquor, wine, beer, pharmaceuticals, cosmetic, personal care, alcoholic beverages, liquor, fast-moving consumer goods, dairy, agrochemicals, and hospitality industries. It also offers packaging products, such as glass containers and specialty glass products. The company also exports its products. The company was formerly known as HSIL Limited and changed its name to AGI Greenpac Limited in April 2022. The company was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Gurugram, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

AGI Greenpac Limited reported revenue of ₹26.7B in FY2026 versus ₹14.3B in FY2022, a compound +16.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.5B in FY2026, compounding +16.1%/yr from FY2022.

AGI screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.