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Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited (AHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$14.9M

AD Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited AHF · AU
PriceA$0.0160
Fair ValueA$0.0170
Upside+6.3%
Quality35/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -58.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −15.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0890 A$0.0110 Fair Value A$0.0170 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0110 – A$0.0890 · the A$0.0160 price screens below the A$0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited (AHF) currently trades at A$0.0160, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 6.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited generated revenue of A$7.6M at a net margin of -58.5%. Revenue grew 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 6%, AHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$7.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.0%
Net margin -58.5%
Return on equity -18.1%
Free cash flow −A$3.5M FY2025
Operating margin -53.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
Net cash A$2.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated producer of dairy products in Australia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Nutritional Powders and Dairy Farms. The company processes and sells dairy and nutritional products to domestic and international markets.

Full company description

Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated producer of dairy products in Australia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Nutritional Powders and Dairy Farms. The company processes and sells dairy and nutritional products to domestic and international markets. It also owns and operates dairy farms and dairy livestock for the production and sale of fresh raw milk for conversion to milk and milk products. In addition, the company offers organic infant formula, and nutritional and customized specialty dairy powders under the future and Ocean Road Dairies brands. Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Camperdown, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited reported revenue of A$7.2M in FY2025 versus A$21.3M in FY2021, a compound −23.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$7.2M
Latest YoY
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Revenue −23.8%/yr
FY21 A$21.3M
FY22 A$5.8M
FY23 A$5.9M
FY24 A$6.2M
FY25 A$7.2M
Net income
FY21 −A$6.4M
FY22 −A$4.1M
FY23 −A$9.2M
FY24 −A$7.4M
FY25 −A$5.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AHF

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on assets -12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -59% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -54% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.39× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 28
FUTURE 70 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 75 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited (AHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0170 versus a price of A$0.0160, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AHF?
Our model-based fair value for Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited is A$0.0170 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0160.
What is the quality score of AHF?
Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited (AHF)?
Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$7.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AHF?
The net profit margin of Australian Dairy Nutritionals Limited is about -58.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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