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OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED S$0.07, price S$0.04, upside +67.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · SG · ISIN BMG6843Q1033

OE Thin data Sep 27, 2026

OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED

AJ2 · SG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 0.0704 SGD · Strongly undervalued (+67.6%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

0.0980 SGD 0.0220 SGD Fair Value 0.0704 SGD May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0220 SGD – 0.0980 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0583 SGD – 0.0887 SGD · the 0.0420 SGD price screens below the 0.0704 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Ouhua Energy Holdings Limited operates as an importer of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in the People's Republic of China. It imports and processes butane and propane products into LPG; and purchases and sells LPG. The company also exports its products to Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand, and internationally.

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Ouhua Energy Holdings Limited operates as an importer of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in the People's Republic of China. It imports and processes butane and propane products into LPG; and purchases and sells LPG. The company also exports its products to Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand, and internationally. It also engages in the solar power generation business. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Chaozhou, the People's Republic of China. Ouhua Energy Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of High Tree Worldwide Ltd.

Stock analysis

OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2) currently trades at 0.0420 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0704 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 0.0583 SGD (bear) to 0.0887 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0420 SGD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.7%/yr. Reported net income was −59.7M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 20.9M SGD (≈ $16.3M) · EPS (TTM) −0.0300 SGD · Net margin −2.7% · Return on equity −28.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin −1.1% · Revenue (TTM) 2.2B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −27.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 68%, AJ2 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0583 SGD Fair Value 0.0704 SGD Bull 0.0887 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 0.0400 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0900 SGD 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0400 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0900 SGD 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 2/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.3% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.1% (2020) → −2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +67.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −27.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 73

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.10 €32.79 +13%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $157.21 $77.00 −51%
Uniper SE UN0 €45.25 €45.97 +2%
NiSource Inc NI $39.42 $19.90 −50%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.08 HK$4.79 −32%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹172.70 ₹132.97 −23%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.35 €9.19 +10%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥18.54 ¥36.99 +100%
UGI Corporation UGI $36.24 $32.74 −10%
ENN Energy Holdings 2688 HK$48.76 HK$107.85 +121%

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0.0704 SGD +40%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AJ2

Frequently asked questions

Is OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0704 SGD versus a price of 0.0420 SGD, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AJ2?
Our model-based fair value for OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.0704 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0420 SGD.
What is the quality score of AJ2?
OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0704 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0583 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0887 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0704 SGD, about +68% upside versus a price of 0.0420 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.0583 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0887 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED it is 0.0704 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.0420 SGD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AJ2 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0420 SGD, fair value 0.0704 SGD, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AJ2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0420 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0704 SGD). For OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED the two are 0.0284 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED worth?
The market values OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED at about 20.9M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.0420 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0704 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AJ2?
Our models span a range for OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.0583 SGD, base 0.0704 SGD, optimistic 0.0887 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.0420 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
Balance-sheet figures for OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −28.7%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AJ2 from its 52-week high?
OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at 0.0420 SGD, about 33% below its 52-week high of 0.0630 SGD and 91% above the low of 0.0220 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0704 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Uniper SE, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.0420 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0704 SGD (+68%), Quality Score 45/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AJ2 calculated?
We run OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0704 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 0.0420 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0704 SGD, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.0583 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED

How large is the market capitalisation of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
The market capitalisation of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 20.9M SGD (≈ $16.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
Earnings per share at OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED are −0.0300 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
The net margin of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is −2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is −28.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
The operating margin of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
Revenue at OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is growing −27.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2)?
Earnings per share at OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED are growing +14.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2) generate?
The free cash flow of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is −24.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED (AJ2) carry?
The net debt of OUHUA ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 363M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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