Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. stock TRY 2.96, price TRY 3.44, upside -14.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range 1.56 TRY – 5.30 TRY · fair‑value band 1.85 TRY – 4.07 TRY · the 3.44 TRY price screens above the 2.96 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. together with its subsidiaries, generates and sells electricity from renewable sources in Turkey.
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The company operates a portfolio of wind and hybrid solar power plants with a total installed capacity of 536.37 megawatts; hydroelectric plants with a capacity of 228.7; and solar power plants with an installed capacity of 121.4 megawatts.
The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Ankara, Turkey. Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji operates as a subsidiary of Akfen Holding Anonim Sirketi.
Stock analysis
Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE) currently trades at 3.44 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.96 TRY, 14.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 4.76 TRY per share, and 5 of the 10 models we run sit above the 3.44 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 2.02 TRY, and 5 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.85 TRY (bear) to 4.07 TRY (bull), the price of 3.44 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. reported revenue of 5.8B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.3B TRY in FY2021, a compound +45.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B TRY in FY2025, compounding +47.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 25.3B TRY (≈ $507M) Small · P/E ratio 9.6 · P/S ratio 4.34 · EPS (TTM) 0.3600 TRY · Net margin 42.1% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −14%, AKFYE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1.85 TRYFair Value 2.96 TRYBull4.07 TRY
Price 3.44 TRY · Upside -14.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2979 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+32.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+32.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.51% → 24%
Compare Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside−14.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.2% · Above median
Return on assets2.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)42.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)3.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−21.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKFYE
Frequently asked questions
Is Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.96 TRY versus a price of 3.44 TRY, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKFYE?
Our model-based fair value for Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 2.96 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.44 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKFYE?
Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.96 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.85 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.07 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.96 TRY, about −14% upside versus a price of 3.44 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.85 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.07 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. it is 2.96 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 3.44 TRY. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, AKFYE trades above its calculated fair value: price 3.44 TRY, fair value 2.96 TRY, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKFYE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.44 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.96 TRY). For Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. the two are 0.4800 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. worth?
The market values Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. at about 25.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 3.44 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2.96 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKFYE?
Our models span a range for Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S.: cautious scenario 1.85 TRY, base 2.96 TRY, optimistic 4.07 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 3.44 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AKFYE?
Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.96 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 4.3, EV/EBITDA 11.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKFYE from its 52-week high?
Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. trades at 3.44 TRY, about 27% below its 52-week high of 4.71 TRY and 27% above the low of 2.72 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.96 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, Ørsted A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 3.44 TRY, calculated fair value 2.96 TRY (−14%), Quality Score 36/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKFYE calculated?
We run Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.96 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 3.44 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 2.96 TRY, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. right now?
A fairly wide model range (1.85 TRY to 4.07 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
The market capitalisation of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 25.3B TRY (≈ $507M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 4.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
Earnings per share at Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. are 0.3600 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
The net margin of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 42.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
The operating margin of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
Revenue at Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is growing −21.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE)?
Earnings per share at Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. are growing −55.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE) generate?
The free cash flow of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is −1.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. (AKFYE) carry?
The net debt of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is 10.6B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 29, 2026