Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the production, distribution, and trading of electricity in Turkey. It operates hydroelectric and solar power plants. Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Isparta, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) currently trades at 27.40 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.78 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 624.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7.72 TRY per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 27.40 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 2.52 TRY, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.29 TRY (bear) to 5.16 TRY (bull), the price of 27.40 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 73.1M TRY in FY2025 versus 17.3M TRY in FY2021, a compound +43.4%/yr. Reported net income was −37.5M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B TRY (≈ $65.6M) · P/S ratio 45.8 · EPS (TTM) −0.5700 TRY · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −51.3% · Return on equity −5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin −55.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −86%, AKSUE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.2900 TRY to 7.72 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 2.29 TRYFair Value 3.78 TRYBull 5.16 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.1%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
65.8% (2003) → −12.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+69.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 209 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Above median
Fair Value upside−87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−63% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−56% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF5.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA4.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKSUE
Frequently asked questions
Is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.78 TRY versus a price of 27.40 TRY, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKSUE?
Our model-based fair value for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 3.78 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 27.40 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKSUE?
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.78 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.29 TRY, optimistic scenario 5.16 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.78 TRY, about −86% upside versus a price of 27.40 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.29 TRY, optimistic scenario 5.16 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 69.6M TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS pay a dividend?
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by +69.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +38.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKSUE use?
Our models discount Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.06, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS that is +69.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS grew +38.1 % a year. The price currently implies +69.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (+69.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.65 %: that much free cash flow Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS it is 3.78 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 27.40 TRY. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AKSUE trades above its calculated fair value: price 27.40 TRY, fair value 3.78 TRY, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKSUE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (27.40 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.78 TRY). For Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS the two are 23.62 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS at about 3.2B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 27.40 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.78 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKSUE?
Our models span a range for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 2.29 TRY, base 3.78 TRY, optimistic 5.16 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 27.40 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −5.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKSUE from its 52-week high?
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS trades at 27.40 TRY, about 47% below its 52-week high of 51.50 TRY and 84% above the low of 14.88 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.78 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 27.40 TRY, calculated fair value 3.78 TRY (−86%), Quality Score 43/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKSUE calculated?
We run Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.78 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.16 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.29 TRY to 5.16 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The market capitalisation of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 3.2B TRY (≈ $65.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 45.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Earnings per share at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS are −0.5700 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The dividend yield of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The net margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is −51.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The operating margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is −55.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Revenue at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is growing −20.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Earnings per share at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS are growing +11.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) carry?
The net debt of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 997K TRY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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