Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS stock TRY 2.51, price TRY 11.11, upside -77.4%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.31 TRY – 48.26 TRY · fair‑value band 2.07 TRY – 3.37 TRY · the 11.11 TRY price screens above the 2.51 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the production, distribution, and trading of electricity in Turkey. It operates hydroelectric and solar power plants. Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Isparta, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) currently trades at 11.11 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.51 TRY, 77.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 5.99 TRY per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the 11.11 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 2.29 TRY, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.07 TRY (bear) to 3.37 TRY (bull), the price of 11.11 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 73.1M TRY in FY2025 versus 17.3M TRY in FY2021, a compound +43.4%/yr. Reported net income was −37.5M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 766M TRY (≈ $15.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 16.5 · EPS (TTM) −0.5700 TRY · Net margin −51.3% · Return on equity −9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin −31.9% · Revenue (TTM) 62.9M TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −77%, AKSUE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.07 TRYFair Value 2.51 TRYBull3.37 TRY
Price 11.11 TRY · Upside -77.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +36.5% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
65.8% (2003) → −12.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.1% a year for the price.
Compare Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Below median
Fair Value upside−77.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−137.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−31.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−25.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)12.18× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow65.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 7
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 71
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKSUE
Frequently asked questions
Is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.51 TRY versus a price of 11.11 TRY, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKSUE?
Our model-based fair value for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 2.51 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.11 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKSUE?
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.51 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.07 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.37 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.51 TRY, about −77% upside versus a price of 11.11 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.07 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.37 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 62.9M TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by +39.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +38.1 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKSUE use?
Our models discount Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.04, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS that is +39.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS grew +38.1 % a year. The price currently implies +39.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (+39.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.59 %: that much free cash flow Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS it is 2.51 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 11.11 TRY. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, AKSUE trades above its calculated fair value: price 11.11 TRY, fair value 2.51 TRY, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKSUE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.11 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.51 TRY). For Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS the two are 8.60 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS at about 766M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 11.11 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2.51 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKSUE?
Our models span a range for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 2.07 TRY, base 2.51 TRY, optimistic 3.37 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 11.11 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −9.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKSUE from its 52-week high?
Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS trades at 11.11 TRY, about 77% below its 52-week high of 48.26 TRY and at the low of 11.08 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.51 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, Ørsted A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 11.11 TRY, calculated fair value 2.51 TRY (−77%), Quality Score 38/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKSUE calculated?
We run Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.51 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 11.11 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 2.51 TRY, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.37 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The market capitalisation of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 766M TRY (≈ $15.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 16.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Earnings per share at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS are −0.5700 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The net margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is −51.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
The operating margin of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is −31.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Revenue at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is growing −25.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE)?
Earnings per share at Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS are growing +11.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS (AKSUE) carry?
The net debt of Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret AS is 997K TRY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 29, 2026