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Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Aldebaran Resources Inc C$0.44, price C$2.70, upside -83.7%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA01408J1049

AR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Aldebaran Resources Inc

ALDE · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.4400 · Strongly overvalued (−83.7%)

!Quality 36/100

!negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (1/7)

!Narrow moat 10/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear C$0.3200 to bull C$0.6500 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 36/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.4600 – C$4.18 · fair‑value band C$0.3200 – C$0.6500 · the C$2.70 price screens above the C$0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Aldebaran Resources Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation of mineral properties in Canada and Argentina. The company primarily explores for copper and gold. Aldebaran Resources Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE) currently trades at C$2.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4400, 83.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 76/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.3200 (bear) to C$0.6500 (bull), the price of C$2.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Aldebaran Resources Inc reported revenue of C$0 in FY2024 versus C$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −C$1.3M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap C$552M (≈ $388M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0800 · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% · Free cash flow −C$7.4M · Net cash C$6.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −84%, ALDE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.3200 Fair Value C$0.4400 Bull C$0.6500

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

NCAV (Graham) C$0.3200 C$0.4400 C$0.6500 51

All 1 models by family

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) C$0.3200 C$0.4400 C$0.6500 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 7

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 58

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 100

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 77

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 5

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 11

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 54

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 35

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 0

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

ALDE screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (53 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype

Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

Aldebaran Resources and Centauri Minerals Announce Completion of Spin-Out Transactions Yahoo Finance · Aug 27, 2026
Aldebaran Files PEA on Sedar+ and Announces Termination of the Option Agreement with Nuton Holdings Ltd. Yahoo Finance · Nov 24, 2025
Aldebaran Announces Intention to Spin Out Northern Argentina Exploration Projects into a New Argentine-Focused Exploration Company and Provi Yahoo Finance · Sep 5, 2025
Aldebaran Intercepts 649.40 m of 0.54% CuEq, Including 354.00 m of 0.72% CuEq at the Altar Copper-Gold Project GlobeNewswire · Oct 3, 2023

Compare Aldebaran Resources Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 433 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 46 · Above median

Fair Value upside −83.5% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −4.2% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.22× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211	61.10 SAR	67.21 SAR	+10%
CMOC Group 603993	¥17.08	¥19.15	+12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC	₹588.95	₹647.85	+10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657	¥57.18	¥29.56	−48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130	1,116,000 KRW	646,063 KRW	−42%
Boliden AB BOL	kr 521.00	kr 464.45	−11%
Western Mining Co 601168	¥35.19	¥38.71	+10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN	C$12.06	C$4.46	−63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549	¥46.90	¥23.62	−50%
Vedanta Limited VEDL	₹266.35	₹655.92	+146%

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Aldebaran Resources Inc · Fair Value
C$0.4400 −84%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALDE" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Aldebaran Resources Inc · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">C$0.4400</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−84%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aldebaran Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALDE

Frequently asked questions

Is Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.4400 versus a price of C$2.70, about −84% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of ALDE?

Our model-based fair value for Aldebaran Resources Inc is C$0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.70.

What is the quality score of ALDE?

Aldebaran Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3200, optimistic scenario C$0.6500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Aldebaran Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at C$0.4400, about −84% upside versus a price of C$2.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.3200, optimistic scenario C$0.6500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the intrinsic value of Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aldebaran Resources Inc it is C$0.4400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$2.70. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Aldebaran Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, ALDE trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.70, fair value C$0.4400, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of ALDE?

No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.4400). For Aldebaran Resources Inc the two are C$2.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Aldebaran Resources Inc worth?

The market values Aldebaran Resources Inc at about C$552M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$2.70; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.4400 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALDE?

Our models span a range for Aldebaran Resources Inc: cautious scenario C$0.3200, base C$0.4400, optimistic C$0.6500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$2.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

Balance-sheet figures for Aldebaran Resources Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is ALDE from its 52-week high?

Aldebaran Resources Inc trades at C$2.70, about 36% below its 52-week high of C$4.18 and 40% above the low of C$1.93 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.4400 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Aldebaran Resources Inc?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Aldebaran Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$2.70, calculated fair value C$0.4400 (−84%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of ALDE calculated?

We run Aldebaran Resources Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.4400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aldebaran Resources Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$2.70. Our model-based fair value is C$0.4400, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Aldebaran Resources Inc right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.6500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.3200 to C$0.6500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Aldebaran Resources Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

The market capitalisation of Aldebaran Resources Inc is C$552M (≈ $388M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What are the earnings per share of Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

Earnings per share at Aldebaran Resources Inc are C$−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the return on equity of Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Aldebaran Resources Inc is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aldebaran Resources Inc is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

How much free cash flow does Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE) generate?

The free cash flow of Aldebaran Resources Inc is −C$7.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Aldebaran Resources Inc (ALDE) hold?

Aldebaran Resources Inc holds more cash than debt, C$6.1M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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