Sigma Foods, S.A. (ALFFF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $4.7B
Sigma Foods, S.A.
ALFFF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +5.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.4760 to $1.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1845 – $1.36 · fair‑value band $0.4760 – $1.06 · the $0.9000 price screens above the $0.7565 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Sigma Foods, S.A. (ALFFF) currently trades at $0.9000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7565, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sigma Foods, S.A. generated revenue of $177B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 42.6%. Net debt stands at $48.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4760 (bear case) to $1.06 (bull case); at $0.9000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -16%, ALFFF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($22.78) versus Economic Profit ($0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V., a consumer-packaged goods company, produces, markets, and distributes food products in Mexico, the United States, Central and South America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Sigma and Other segments.
Full company description
Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V., a consumer-packaged goods company, produces, markets, and distributes food products in Mexico, the United States, Central and South America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Sigma and Other segments. The company offers cooked meats comprising hams, sausages, mortadella, and bacon; fresh meat; dry meat consisting of cured meats and salami; dairy products, such as cheese, yogurt, cream, and butter; refrigerated pizzas, prepared meals and food, snacks, plant-based protein products, ready-to-drink coffee, fish, burgers, dry goods, and canned products; other frozen and refrigerated food; and alternative proteins. It sells its products under the Aoste, Bar S, Bernina, Better Balance, Braedt, Camelia, Campofrio, Caroli, Cesar Moroni, Checo, Chen, Chimex, Cochonou, Comnor, Del Prado, Don Diego, El Cazo, Fiorucci, Franja, Fud, Galicia, Grill House by Sigma, Iassa, Ibero, Juris, Justin Bridou, La Chona, La Villita, Laska, Lekkerland, Longmont, Los Altos, Marcassou, Monteverde, Mucho Gusto, Navidul, Nayar, Nobre, Noche Buena, Norteñita, Oscar Mayer, Otto Kunz, Revilla, San Antonio, San Rafael, Sigma Foodservice, Snack'In For You, Sosua, Stegeman, Superior, Supremo, Tangamanga, Tastech by Sigma, Vitta, Viva, Yoplait, Zar, and Zurqui brands. The company was formerly known as Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. and changed its name to Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. in December 2025. Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sigma Foods, S.A. reported revenue of $178B in FY2025 versus $297B in FY2021, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was $8.5B in FY2025, compounding +20.1%/yr from FY2021.
ALFFF screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Sigma Foods SAB de CV (ALFFF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Growth and Strategic ...
- Sigma Foods reports 2Q26 EBITDA of US $296 million, driven by higher Volume, Revenues, and Comparable EBITDA
- Sigma Foods reports EBITDA of US $260 million in 1Q26; record first-quarter Volume and Revenues
- How New Valuation Assumptions And Egg Protein Trials Are Shaping Sigma Foods.de (BMV:SIGMAF A)
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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