EN DE

Alimak Group (ALIG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 13.2B SEK

AG Alimak Group ALIG · ST
Pricekr 128.00
Fair Valuekr 109.92
Upside-14.1%
Quality48/100
Watch Alimak Group for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range kr 57.04 – kr 149.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +14.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 14% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 57.04 to kr 149.81). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 162.82 kr 39.78 Fair Value kr 109.92 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 39.78 – kr 162.82 · fair‑value band kr 57.04 – kr 149.81 · the kr 128.00 price screens above the kr 109.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Alimak Group (ALIG) currently trades at kr 128.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 109.92, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alimak Group generated revenue of 6.8B SEK at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at 2.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 57.04 (bear case) to kr 149.81 (bull case); at kr 128.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -14%, ALIG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 54.73 kr 101.85 kr 177.33 80
Residual Income kr 57.24 kr 61.83 kr 76.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 57.75 kr 110.42 kr 174.05 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 54.20 kr 102.69 kr 180.86 38
Owner Earnings kr 70.82 kr 130.22 kr 225.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 57.75 kr 111.20 kr 181.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 79.67 kr 153.90 kr 243.58 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 59.07 kr 113.77 kr 173.26 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 53.20 kr 102.53 kr 172.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 70.02 kr 132.85 kr 222.26 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 56.67 kr 104.36 kr 166.49 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 38.81 kr 145.20 kr 196.34 54
Lynch FV kr 35.00 kr 49.99 kr 64.99 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 35.00 kr 49.99 kr 64.99 46
EPV kr 49.77 kr 61.33 kr 71.45 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 89.89 kr 119.85 kr 149.81 63
P/S Multiple kr 72.77 kr 97.02 kr 121.28 58
P/B Multiple kr 72.77 kr 97.02 kr 121.28 55
EV/EBIT kr 98.09 kr 137.32 kr 176.55 53
EV/EBITDA kr 104.66 kr 146.09 kr 187.51 54
EV/Revenue kr 62.22 kr 97.30 kr 132.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 33.99 kr 45.54 kr 67.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 54.73 kr 101.85 kr 177.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 57.75 kr 110.42 kr 174.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 57.24 kr 61.83 kr 76.00 76
ROIC Compounder kr 49.77 kr 61.33 kr 76.45 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 64.63 kr 92.33 kr 120.03 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 111.20) versus Asset-Based (kr 45.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.8B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.6%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow 653M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 24.3
More key figures
Operating margin 14.6%
EPS (TTM) kr 5.14
EPS growth (YoY) -20.2%
Net debt 2.4B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 37
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alimak Group AB (publ) designs, manufactures, sells, and services vertical access and working at height solutions worldwide. It operates through five segments: Facade Access, Construction, Height Safety & Productivity Solutions, Industrial and Wind.

Full company description

Alimak Group AB (publ) designs, manufactures, sells, and services vertical access and working at height solutions worldwide. It operates through five segments: Facade Access, Construction, Height Safety & Productivity Solutions, Industrial and Wind. The company develops, manufactures, sells, services, and rents construction hoists, transport platforms, and mast climbing work platforms for temporary use in construction and renovation projects; sells used construction products; and provides assembly, disassembly, maintenance, operating assistance, transportation, and insurance services. It also offers installed rack-and-pinion and traction elevators used in ports, power, cement, marine, and oil and gas segments for maintenance and accessibility; service solutions, such as package, preventive maintenance and repair, inspection, refurbishment, and customer training services, as well as genuine replacement parts; and permanently installed equipment and systems that enable regular access to the facade of buildings. In addition, the company provides lifting and fall protection equipment and services; and service lifts, vertical ladders, and fall protection systems for wind towers. It offers its products and services under the Alimak, Tractel, CoxGomyl, Manntech, Avanti, and Scanclimber brand names. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alimak Group reported revenue of kr 6.9B in FY2025 versus kr 3.7B in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 604M in FY2025, compounding +18.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.9B SEK
Latest YoY
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+12.4%
Revenue +16.5%/yr
FY21 kr 3.7B
FY22 kr 4.5B
FY23 kr 7.1B
FY24 kr 7.1B
FY25 kr 6.9B
Net income +18.3%/yr
FY21 kr 308M
FY22 kr 376M
FY23 kr 515M
FY24 kr 623M
FY25 kr 604M

ALIG screens 14% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alimak Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALIG

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.84× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.95× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.40× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 15 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 31 · sector 28
HEALTH 78 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

Compare Alimak Group with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Alimak Group (ALIG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 109.92 versus a price of kr 128.00, about −14% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALIG?
Our model-based fair value for Alimak Group is kr 109.92 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 128.00.
What is the quality score of ALIG?
Alimak Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alimak Group (ALIG)?
Alimak Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALIG?
The net profit margin of Alimak Group is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alimak Group pay a dividend?
Alimak Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Alimak Group and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.