Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Alimak Hek Group AB SEK 118, price SEK 122, upside -3.2%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 39.78 – kr 162.82 · fair‑value band kr 64.63 – kr 149.81 · the kr 121.60 price screens above the kr 117.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Alimak Group AB (publ) designs, manufactures, sells, and services vertical access and working at height solutions worldwide. It operates through five segments: Facade Access, Construction, Height Safety & Productivity Solutions, Industrial and Wind.
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Alimak Group AB (publ) designs, manufactures, sells, and services vertical access and working at height solutions worldwide. It operates through five segments: Facade Access, Construction, Height Safety & Productivity Solutions, Industrial and Wind. The company develops, manufactures, sells, services, and rents construction hoists, transport platforms, and mast climbing work platforms for temporary use in construction and renovation projects; sells used construction products; and provides assembly, disassembly, maintenance, operating assistance, transportation, and insurance services. It also offers installed rack-and-pinion and traction elevators used in ports, power, cement, marine, and oil and gas segments for maintenance and accessibility; service solutions, such as package, preventive maintenance and repair, inspection, refurbishment, and customer training services, as well as genuine replacement parts; and permanently installed equipment and systems that enable regular access to the facade of buildings. In addition, the company provides lifting and fall protection equipment and services; and service lifts, vertical ladders, and fall protection systems for wind towers. It offers its products and services under the Alimak, Tractel, CoxGomyl, Manntech, Avanti, and Scanclimber brand names. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG) currently trades at kr 121.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 117.70, implying the stock looks roughly 3.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 119.04 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 121.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 45.54, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 64.63 (bear) to kr 149.81 (bull), the price of kr 121.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Alimak Hek Group AB reported revenue of 6.9B SEK in FY2025 versus 3.7B SEK in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was 604M SEK in FY2025, compounding +18.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 13.0B SEK (≈ $1.3B) · P/E ratio 23.7 · P/S ratio 2.08 · EPS (TTM) kr 5.14 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 8.8% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −3%, ALIG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 64.63Fair Value kr 117.70Bull kr 149.81
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 1.46 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.7% a year for the price and −0.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 832 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.45× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.83× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alimak Hek Group AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALIG
Frequently asked questions
Is Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 117.70 versus a price of kr 121.60, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALIG?
Our model-based fair value for Alimak Hek Group AB is kr 117.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 121.60.
What is the quality score of ALIG?
Alimak Hek Group AB has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 117.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 64.63, optimistic scenario kr 149.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alimak Hek Group AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 117.70, about −3% upside versus a price of kr 121.60 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario kr 64.63, optimistic scenario kr 149.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
Alimak Hek Group AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Alimak Hek Group AB pay a dividend?
Alimak Hek Group AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alimak Hek Group AB would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALIG use?
Our models discount Alimak Hek Group AB at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alimak Hek Group AB that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alimak Hek Group AB grew +12.9 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alimak Hek Group AB (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.03 %: that much free cash flow Alimak Hek Group AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alimak Hek Group AB it is kr 117.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of kr 121.60. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alimak Hek Group AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALIG trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 121.60, fair value kr 117.70, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALIG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 121.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 117.70). For Alimak Hek Group AB the two are kr 3.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alimak Hek Group AB worth?
The market values Alimak Hek Group AB at about 13.0B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is kr 121.60; our models calculate a fair value of kr 117.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALIG?
Our models span a range for Alimak Hek Group AB: cautious scenario kr 64.63, base kr 117.70, optimistic kr 149.81 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price kr 121.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALIG?
Alimak Hek Group AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 117.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 13.6.
What is the PEG ratio of ALIG?
The PEG ratio of Alimak Hek Group AB is 1.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alimak Hek Group AB (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.7%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALIG from its 52-week high?
Alimak Hek Group AB trades at kr 121.60, about 22% below its 52-week high of kr 156.42 and 18% above the low of kr 103.24 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 117.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alimak Hek Group AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alimak Hek Group AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price kr 121.60, calculated fair value kr 117.70 (−3%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALIG calculated?
We run Alimak Hek Group AB through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 117.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Alimak Hek Group AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 121.60. Our model-based fair value is kr 117.70, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alimak Hek Group AB right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (kr 64.63 to kr 149.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG) come from?
Earnings per share at Alimak Hek Group AB grew +13.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.0 %, EBIT margin −1.1 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Alimak Hek Group AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The market capitalisation of Alimak Hek Group AB is 13.0B SEK (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alimak Hek Group AB is 2.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
Earnings per share at Alimak Hek Group AB are kr 5.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The dividend yield of Alimak Hek Group AB is 2.7% (payout 64.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The net margin of Alimak Hek Group AB is 8.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alimak Hek Group AB is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alimak Hek Group AB is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
The operating margin of Alimak Hek Group AB is 14.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
Revenue at Alimak Hek Group AB is growing −4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG)?
Earnings per share at Alimak Hek Group AB are growing −20.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Alimak Hek Group AB (ALIG) carry?
The net debt of Alimak Hek Group AB is 2.4B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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