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Data-driven stock valuation

Allogene Therapeutics Inc (ALLO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Allogene Therapeutics Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Healthcare · US · Market cap $677M · ISIN US0197701065

At a glance

AT Allogene Therapeutics Inc logo Allogene Therapeutics Inc ALLO · US
Price$1.73
Fair Value$0.3315
Upside−80.8%
Quality31/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 422% above our fair value of $0.3315.

As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Allogene Therapeutics Inc is $0.3315 per share against a price of $1.73, so the fair value sits 81% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −91.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $0.2210 to $0.4165

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −17.6% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4165). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2210 to $0.4165) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.64 $0.9528 Fair Value $0.3315 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9528 – $27.64 · fair‑value band $0.2210 – $0.4165 · the $1.73 price screens above the $0.3315 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Allogene Therapeutics Inc (ALLO) currently trades at $1.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3315, implying the stock looks roughly 421.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

It earns a return on equity of −52.3%. Net debt stands at $31.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Scenario range: $0.2210 (bear) to $0.4165 (bull), the price of $1.73 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −81%, ALLO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.4200 $0.5700 $0.8500 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.4200 $0.5700 $0.8500 51

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−0.7700
Return on equity −52.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −43.1% avg 5y
Free cash flow −$150M FY2025
Net debt $31.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Allogene Therapeutics, Inc. a clinical stage immuno-oncology company, develops and commercializes genetically engineered allogeneic T cell therapies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases.

Full company description

Allogene Therapeutics, Inc. a clinical stage immuno-oncology company, develops and commercializes genetically engineered allogeneic T cell therapies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases. It develops a pipeline of multiple allogeneic CAR T cell product candidates utilizing protein engineering, gene editing, gene insertion, and advanced proprietary T cell manufacturing technologies. The company is also developing cemacabtagene ansegedleucel (cema-cel), an engineered allogeneic CAR T cell product candidate that targets CD19 for the treatment of large B-cell lymphoma (LBCL). In addition, it develops ALLO-316, an engineered allogeneic CAR T cell product candidate that targets CD70 to treat renal cell carcinoma (RCC); and ALLO-329, an engineered allogeneic CAR T cell product candidate that targets both CD19 and CD70 for the treatment of autoimmune diseases (AID), such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM), and systemic sclerosis (SSc). The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Allogene Therapeutics Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $38.5M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$191M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$22.0K
Latest YoY
−76.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−91.7%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−673.5% (2020) → −1,241,813.6% (2024)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY21 $38.5M
FY22 $243K
FY23 $95.0K
FY24 $22.0K
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$245M
FY22 −$330M
FY23 −$327M
FY24 −$258M
FY25 −$191M

ALLO screens 422% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Allogene Therapeutics Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALLO

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 633 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −26% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.31× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $546.12 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $827.72 $594.40 −28%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥271.00 ¥47.36 −83%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,452,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −27%
CSL Limited CSL A$174.50 A$141.68 −19%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BioNTech SE 22UA €80.60 €52.92 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Allogene Therapeutics Inc (ALLO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3315 versus a price of $1.73, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALLO?
Our model-based fair value for Allogene Therapeutics Inc is $0.3315 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.73.
What is the quality score of ALLO?
Allogene Therapeutics Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Allogene Therapeutics Inc (ALLO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3315 (as of Aug 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2210, optimistic scenario $0.4165. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Allogene Therapeutics Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3315, about −81% upside versus a price of $1.73 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2210, optimistic scenario $0.4165. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of ALLO?
The net profit margin of Allogene Therapeutics Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Allogene Therapeutics Inc (ALLO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Allogene Therapeutics Inc it is $0.3315 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026), against a price of $1.73. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Allogene Therapeutics Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 27, 2026, ALLO trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.73, fair value $0.3315, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALLO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3315). For Allogene Therapeutics Inc the two are $1.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Allogene Therapeutics Inc worth?
The market values Allogene Therapeutics Inc at about $677M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 27, 2026). Per share that is $1.73; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3315 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALLO?
Our models span a range for Allogene Therapeutics Inc: cautious scenario $0.2210, base $0.3315, optimistic $0.4165 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026, price $1.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Allogene Therapeutics Inc (ALLO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Allogene Therapeutics Inc (as of Aug 27, 2026): return on equity −52.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALLO from its 52-week high?
Allogene Therapeutics Inc trades at $1.73, about 61% below its 52-week high of $4.46 and 76% above the low of $0.9842 (as of Aug 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3315 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Allogene Therapeutics Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, BeOne Medicines AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Allogene Therapeutics Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 27, 2026: price $1.73, calculated fair value $0.3315 (−81%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALLO calculated?
We run Allogene Therapeutics Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3315, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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