NSC Groupe SA (ALNSC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FR · Market cap €26.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €328.62 to €177.00 (−46.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 200% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€127.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (€127.17 to €370.99). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €33.71 – €83.92 · fair‑value band €127.17 – €370.99 · the €59.00 price screens below the €177.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
NSC Groupe SA (ALNSC) currently trades at €59.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €177.00, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NSC Groupe SA generated revenue of €76.0M at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €1.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €127.17 (bear case) to €370.99 (bull case); at €59.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 200%, ALNSC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€307.13) versus Dividend Discount (€10.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NSC Groupe SA, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells production lines for the textile, packaging, and foundry industries worldwide.
Full company description
NSC Groupe SA, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells production lines for the textile, packaging, and foundry industries worldwide. It designs and manufactures unwinders and rewinders used in various industries, such as graphic arts, packaging production, aerospace, wind turbine, automotive, medical domain, etc.; paper, carboard, films, and nonwoven materials; and produces textile machinery and complete fiber-to-yarn lines; and lamellar graphite iron or ductile cast iron parts used in various businesses comprising machinery construction, refrigeration of street furniture, hydraulics, transport, printing, etc. NSC Groupe SA was founded in 1810 and is based in Guebwiller, France. NSC Groupe SA is a subsidiary of Alsapar.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NSC Groupe SA reported revenue of €72.3M in FY2025 versus €48.0M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was €8.1M in FY2025, compounding +84.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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