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Groupe OKwind (ALOKW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Groupe OKwind €0.03, price €0.23, upside -86.8%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
Groupe OKwind
ALOKW · PAWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value €0.0300 · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 28/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -105.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range €0.1877 – €22.05 · fair‑value band €0.0300 – €0.0500 · the €0.2280 price screens above the €0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
Groupe OKwind designs, manufactures, sells, and installs green energy solutions in France. The company develops solar trackers, as well as provides energy management services. It serves agricultural, industrial, water, agrivoltaism, community, and private consumer markets. Groupe OKwind was founded in 2009 and is based in Torcé, France.
Stock analysis
Groupe OKwind (ALOKW) currently trades at €0.2280, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 659.9% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €0.0300 (bear) to €0.0500 (bull), the price of €0.2280 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Groupe OKwind reported revenue of €23.8M in FY2025 versus €26.7M in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€26.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €2.4M · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) €−3.24 · Net margin −113% · Return on equity −139% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin −138% · Revenue (TTM) €25.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −87%, ALOKW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.0300
Fair Value €0.0300
Bull €0.0500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
€0.3500
€0.4800
€0.7100
54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€0.3500
€0.4800
€0.7100
54
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
28/100
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Profitability
16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
4/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−58.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.7% (2020) → −75.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
ALOKW screens 660% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Compare Groupe OKwind with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 208 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Utilities sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Utilities
- Undervalued stocks: French Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.08 | ¥30.89 | +10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 135.75 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.62 | ¥4.45 | −54% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,301 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| VERBUND AG VER | €62.55 | €56.60 | −10% |
| BEP BEP | $29.08 | $70.40 | +142% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €23.56 | €14.06 | −40% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥14.30 | ¥17.08 | +19% |
| China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 | ¥3.64 | ¥2.40 | −34% |
| EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR | €13.22 | €3.67 | −72% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Groupe OKwind (ALOKW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.0300 versus a price of €0.2280, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALOKW?
Our model-based fair value for Groupe OKwind is €0.0300 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.2280.
What is the quality score of ALOKW?
Groupe OKwind has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.0300 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.0300, optimistic scenario €0.0500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Groupe OKwind stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.0300, about −87% upside versus a price of €0.2280 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.0300, optimistic scenario €0.0500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
Groupe OKwind reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €25.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Groupe OKwind it is €0.0300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.2280. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Groupe OKwind stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALOKW trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.2280, fair value €0.0300, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALOKW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.2280); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.0300). For Groupe OKwind the two are €0.1980 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Groupe OKwind worth?
The market values Groupe OKwind at about €2.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.2280; our models calculate a fair value of €0.0300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALOKW?
Our models span a range for Groupe OKwind: cautious scenario €0.0300, base €0.0300, optimistic €0.0500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.2280). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Groupe OKwind (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −138.9%, debt of 2.89 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALOKW from its 52-week high?
Groupe OKwind trades at €0.2280, about 78% below its 52-week high of €1.04 and 21% above the low of €0.1877 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Groupe OKwind?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Groupe OKwind stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.2280, calculated fair value €0.0300 (−87%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALOKW calculated?
We run Groupe OKwind through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Groupe OKwind itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.2280. Our model-based fair value is €0.0300, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Groupe OKwind right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Groupe OKwind
How large is the market capitalisation of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
The market capitalisation of Groupe OKwind is €2.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Groupe OKwind is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
Earnings per share at Groupe OKwind are €−3.24. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
The net margin of Groupe OKwind is −113% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Groupe OKwind is −139% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Groupe OKwind is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
The operating margin of Groupe OKwind is −138% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
Revenue at Groupe OKwind is growing −59.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Groupe OKwind (ALOKW)?
Earnings per share at Groupe OKwind are growing +85.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Groupe OKwind (ALOKW) generate?
The free cash flow of Groupe OKwind is −€15.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Groupe OKwind (ALOKW) carry?
The net debt of Groupe OKwind is €21.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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