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Astellas Pharma Inc (ALPMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $23.8B

AP Astellas Pharma Inc logo Astellas Pharma Inc ALPMY · US
Price$13.20
Fair Value$23.54
Upside+78.3%
Quality73/100
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Evidence: High Range $17.65 – $29.42

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026, revised from $27.61 to $23.54 (−14.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$16.77 $9.22 Fair Value $23.54 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $9.22 – $16.77 · fair‑value band $17.65 – $29.42 · the $13.20 price screens below the $23.54 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Astellas Pharma Inc (ALPMY) currently trades at $13.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.54, implying the stock looks roughly 78.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Astellas Pharma Inc generated revenue of $2.1T at a net margin of 13.6%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $35.8B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.65 (bear case) to $29.42 (bull case); at $13.20, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 78%, ALPMY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.1T
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.7%
Net margin 13.6%
Return on equity 17.4%
Free cash flow $539B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 16.5%
EPS (TTM) $1.01
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.8%
Net cash $35.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Astellas Pharma Inc. manufactures, markets, imports, and exports pharmaceuticals in Japan and internationally. The company offers XTANDI, a treatment for prostate cancer; XOSPATA, a treatment for acute myeloid leukemia; VYLOY, a treatment for gastric cancer; and PADCEV, a treatment for patients with metastatic urothelial cancer. It also provides VEOZAH, a treatment for vasomotor symptoms due to menopause; IZERVAY, a treatment for geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration; EVRENZO, a treatment for anemia associated with chronic kidney disease; Betanis/Myrabetriq/BETMIGA, a treatment for overactive bladder; and Prograf, an immunosuppressant. It has a research collaboration with xFOREST Therapeutics to develop RNA-targeted therapies and a partnership agreement with Roche Diabetes Care Japan Co., Ltd. to develop and commercialize an integrated diabetes self-management solution. It offers its products to oncology, ophthalmology, urology, immunology, and women's …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Astellas Pharma Inc reported revenue of $2.3T in FY2026 versus $1.3T in FY2022, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $309B in FY2026, compounding +25.6%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY22 $1.3T
FY23 $1.5T
FY24 $1.6T
FY25 $1.9T
FY26 $2.3T
Net income +25.6%/yr
FY22 $124B
FY23 $98.7B
FY24 $17.0B
FY25 $50.7B
FY26 $309B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Astellas Pharma Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALPMY

Recent news

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Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).

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Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,131 $447.74 -60%
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Amgen Inc AMGN $344.72 $261.17 -24%
Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD34 R$314.88 R$283.11 -10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Astellas Pharma Inc (ALPMY) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.54 versus a price of $13.20, about +78% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ALPMY?
Our model-based fair value for Astellas Pharma Inc is $23.54 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.20.
What is the quality score of ALPMY?
Astellas Pharma Inc has a Quality Score of 73/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Astellas Pharma Inc (ALPMY)?
Astellas Pharma Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1T (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALPMY?
The net profit margin of Astellas Pharma Inc is about 13.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Astellas Pharma Inc pay a dividend?
Astellas Pharma Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.