Astellas Pharma Inc (ALPMY) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $23.8B
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026, revised from $27.61 to $23.54 (−14.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $9.22 – $16.77 · fair‑value band $17.65 – $29.42 · the $13.20 price screens below the $23.54 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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Astellas Pharma Inc (ALPMY) currently trades at $13.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.54, implying the stock looks roughly 78.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Astellas Pharma Inc generated revenue of $2.1T at a net margin of 13.6%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $35.8B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.65 (bear case) to $29.42 (bull case); at $13.20, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 78%, ALPMY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Astellas Pharma Inc. manufactures, markets, imports, and exports pharmaceuticals in Japan and internationally. The company offers XTANDI, a treatment for prostate cancer; XOSPATA, a treatment for acute myeloid leukemia; VYLOY, a treatment for gastric cancer; and PADCEV, a treatment for patients with metastatic urothelial cancer. It also provides VEOZAH, a treatment for vasomotor symptoms due to menopause; IZERVAY, a treatment for geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration; EVRENZO, a treatment for anemia associated with chronic kidney disease; Betanis/Myrabetriq/BETMIGA, a treatment for overactive bladder; and Prograf, an immunosuppressant. It has a research collaboration with xFOREST Therapeutics to develop RNA-targeted therapies and a partnership agreement with Roche Diabetes Care Japan Co., Ltd. to develop and commercialize an integrated diabetes self-management solution. It offers its products to oncology, ophthalmology, urology, immunology, and women's …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Astellas Pharma Inc reported revenue of $2.3T in FY2026 versus $1.3T in FY2022, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $309B in FY2026, compounding +25.6%/yr from FY2022.
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Recent news
- Nvidia CEO Huang visits Japan, unveils AI partnerships across key industries
- Pfizer (PFE) Announces FDA Approval of PADCEV plus Keytruda in MIBC
- Pfizer Poised for Mixed Second Quarter, RBC Says
- U.S. FDA Approves PADCEV® plus Keytruda® as Neoadjuvant and Adjuvant Treatment for Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Regardless of Cisplatin El
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,131 | $447.74 | -60% |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | 4,128 MXN | 159.68 MXN | -96% |
| AbbVie Inc 4AB | €186.15 | €93.56 | -50% |
| Roche Holding 1RO | €377.80 | €280.03 | -26% |
| Merck & Co MRCK34 | R$77.92 | R$40.37 | -48% |
| Novartis AG NVSN | 2,601 MXN | 2,401 MXN | -8% |
| AstraZeneca PLC ZEG | €160.70 | €128.63 | -20% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB | kr 299.95 | kr 542.67 | +81% |
| Amgen Inc AMGN | $344.72 | $261.17 | -24% |
| Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD34 | R$314.88 | R$283.11 | -10% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.