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Amido AB (AMIDO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Amido AB is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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AA
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Amido AB
AMIDO · STWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value kr 0.6900 · Strongly overvalued (−75%)
!Quality 40/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +24.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -31.6% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 1.54 – kr 14.90 · fair‑value band kr 0.5700 – kr 0.9300 · the kr 2.79 price screens above the kr 0.6900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Amido AB (publ) develops and sells digital solutions for the management of authorizations for access control systems, locks, and other electronic device solutions in Sweden and Nordic region.
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Amido AB (publ) develops and sells digital solutions for the management of authorizations for access control systems, locks, and other electronic device solutions in Sweden and Nordic region. The company offers Alliera, a digital platform that integrate access control systems, key cabinets, property boxes, laundry booking, personnel management systems, and all other systems that manage permissions for property owners; Smart Passage, which provides automatic authorization to emergency services and ambulances; and Opna, a platform that allows property owners and contractors secure and seamless contractor access. The company serves real estate companies, public sector organizations, and companies. Amido AB (publ) was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Amido AB (AMIDO) currently trades at kr 2.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.6900, implying the stock looks roughly 304.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 0.6400 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the kr 2.79 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.5400, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 0.5700 (bear) to kr 0.9300 (bull), the price of kr 2.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Amido AB reported revenue of 38.6M SEK in FY2025 versus 20.2M SEK in FY2022, a compound +24.1%/yr. Reported net income was −12.8M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 82.4M SEK (≈ $8.4M) · P/S ratio 1.66 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.4800 · Net margin −33.3% · Return on equity −49.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.6% · Operating margin −29.0% · Revenue (TTM) 43.6M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −75%, AMIDO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 0.5700
Fair Value kr 0.6900
Bull kr 0.9300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
kr 0.5500
kr 0.6300
kr 0.8200
77
Growth DCF
kr 0.5400
kr 0.6400
kr 0.7600
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
kr 0.7100
kr 1.03
kr 1.47
69
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
kr 0.5500
kr 0.6300
kr 0.8200
77
5Y Revenue Exit
kr 0.5400
kr 0.6400
kr 0.7900
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
kr 0.7100
kr 1.03
kr 1.47
69
10Y Revenue Exit
kr 0.5300
kr 0.6300
kr 0.7900
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
kr 0.6400
kr 0.8900
kr 1.31
63
Multiples
EV/EBITDA
kr 0.8500
kr 0.9900
kr 1.14
64
EV/Revenue
kr 0.5300
kr 0.5800
kr 0.6400
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
kr 0.4000
kr 0.5400
kr 0.8000
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
kr 0.5400
kr 0.6400
kr 0.7600
74
Rev-Margin DCF
kr 0.5400
kr 0.6400
kr 0.7800
68
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
40/100
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
25
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.1%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−33.2% (2022) → −32.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+46.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
AMIDO screens 304% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Compare Amido AB with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 152 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Valuation of the Sweden market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $338.50 | $332.82 | −2% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $648.03 | $712.83 | +10% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$428.40 | HK$668.57 | +56% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $525.75 | $578.33 | +10% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $157.77 | $132.52 | −16% |
| Baidu, Inc 89888 | HK$76.30 | HK$34.90 | −54% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 | HK$26.76 | HK$52.36 | +96% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 206,500 KRW | 315,395 KRW | +53% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$30.96 | HK$71.50 | +131% |
| REA Group REA | A$154.42 | A$169.86 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Amido AB (AMIDO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.6900 versus a price of kr 2.79, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AMIDO?
Our model-based fair value for Amido AB is kr 0.6900 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 2.79.
What is the quality score of AMIDO?
Amido AB has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Amido AB (AMIDO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.6900 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.5700, optimistic scenario kr 0.9300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Amido AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.6900, about −75% upside versus a price of kr 2.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.5700, optimistic scenario kr 0.9300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
Amido AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 43.6M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Amido AB (AMIDO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Amido AB would have to grow free cash flow by +46.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +24.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AMIDO use?
Our models discount Amido AB at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Amido AB that is +46.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Amido AB (AMIDO) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Amido AB grew +24.1 % a year. The price currently implies +46.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Amido AB (AMIDO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Amido AB (+46.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.51 %: that much free cash flow Amido AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Amido AB it is kr 0.6900 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of kr 2.79. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Amido AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AMIDO trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 2.79, fair value kr 0.6900, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMIDO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 2.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.6900). For Amido AB the two are kr 2.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Amido AB worth?
The market values Amido AB at about 82.4M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is kr 2.79; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.6900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMIDO?
Our models span a range for Amido AB: cautious scenario kr 0.5700, base kr 0.6900, optimistic kr 0.9300 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price kr 2.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Amido AB (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −49.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMIDO from its 52-week high?
Amido AB trades at kr 2.79, about 56% below its 52-week high of kr 6.40 and 26% above the low of kr 2.22 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.6900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Amido AB?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Amido AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price kr 2.79, calculated fair value kr 0.6900 (−75%), Quality Score 40/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AMIDO calculated?
We run Amido AB through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.6900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Amido AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
The closing price on Sep 16, 2026 was kr 2.79. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.6900, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Amido AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.9300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Amido AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
The market capitalisation of Amido AB is 82.4M SEK (≈ $8.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Amido AB is 1.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
Earnings per share at Amido AB are kr −0.4800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
The net margin of Amido AB is −33.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Amido AB is −49.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Amido AB is −22.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Amido AB (AMIDO)?
The operating margin of Amido AB is −29.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Amido AB (AMIDO)?
Revenue at Amido AB is growing −12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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