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Airports of Thailand Public Company (AOT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 914B THB

AO Airports of Thailand Public Company AOT · BK
Price63.25 THB
Fair Value26.64 THB
Upside-57.9%
Quality74/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 27.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.26% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range 19.98 THB – 33.31 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (33.31 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

73.67 THB 26.83 THB Fair Value 26.64 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 26.83 THB – 73.67 THB · fair‑value band 19.98 THB – 33.31 THB · the 63.25 THB price screens above the 26.64 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Airports of Thailand Public Company (AOT) currently trades at 63.25 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.64 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 57.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Airports of Thailand Public Company generated revenue of 66.4B THB at a net margin of 27.3%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at 30.9B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 19.98 THB (bear case) to 33.31 THB (bull case); at 63.25 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -58%, AOT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 18.58 THB 34.41 THB 64.33 THB 80
Residual Income 9.05 THB 11.20 THB 23.26 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 12.33 THB 20.10 THB 30.68 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 18.88 THB 36.04 THB 71.00 THB 38
Owner Earnings 22.40 THB 43.67 THB 84.95 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 12.33 THB 20.27 THB 31.14 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 23.74 THB 44.95 THB 72.74 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 19.18 THB 35.09 THB 54.06 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 13.96 THB 22.56 THB 36.14 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 22.16 THB 41.59 THB 73.49 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 19.01 THB 33.99 THB 56.71 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.63 THB 46.74 THB 64.81 THB 54
Lynch FV 12.96 THB 18.51 THB 24.06 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 12.96 THB 18.51 THB 24.06 THB 46
EPV 16.08 THB 18.68 THB 21.00 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 8.05 THB 17.58 THB 29.58 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 8.05 THB 14.40 THB 18.32 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 19.03 THB 25.38 THB 31.72 THB 63
P/S Multiple 8.75 THB 11.67 THB 14.59 THB 58
P/B Multiple 16.18 THB 21.57 THB 26.96 THB 55
EV/EBIT 25.77 THB 33.91 THB 42.06 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 27.20 THB 35.82 THB 44.44 THB 54
EV/Revenue 9.50 THB 13.00 THB 16.50 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.58 THB 6.14 THB 9.16 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 18.58 THB 34.41 THB 64.33 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 12.33 THB 20.10 THB 30.68 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9.05 THB 11.20 THB 23.26 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 18.76 THB 26.09 THB 36.28 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 18.51 THB 26.44 THB 34.37 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (35.09 THB) versus Asset-Based (6.14 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 66.4B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.0%
Net margin 27.3%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow 17.2B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 44.5
More key figures
Operating margin 41.2%
EPS (TTM) 1.27 THB
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.1%
Net debt 30.9B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the airport business in Thailand. The company engages in airport management, hotel business, ground service business, security business, and management of perishable goods projects.

Full company description

Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the airport business in Thailand. The company engages in airport management, hotel business, ground service business, security business, and management of perishable goods projects. It operates six international airports, including Suvarnabhumi Airport, Don Mueang International Airport, Chiang Mai International Airport, Hat Yai International Airport, Phuket International Airport and Mae Fah Luang - Chiang Rai International Airport. The company is involved in the hotel and restaurant business; and operation and management of the project on perishable goods at Suvarnabhumi Airport. In addition, it offers ground equipment, security services, and manages projects, as well as ground, warehouse, and cleaning services. Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Airports of Thailand Public Company reported revenue of 66.7B THB in FY2025 versus 7.1B THB in FY2021, a compound +75.1%/yr. Reported net income was 18.1B THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
66.7B THB
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+58.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+7.7%
Revenue +75.1%/yr
FY21 7.1B THB
FY22 16.8B THB
FY23 48.1B THB
FY24 67.1B THB
FY25 66.7B THB
Net income
FY21 −16.3B THB
FY22 −11.1B THB
FY23 8.8B THB
FY24 19.2B THB
FY25 18.1B THB

AOT screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Airports of Thailand Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AOT

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 13.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 29.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.45× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 36
FUTURE 15 · sector 31
PAST 57 · sector 45
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.24 €28.41 +8%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $220.91 $246.06 +11%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹112.80 ₹22.29 -80%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 237.20 CHF 121.30 -49%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥24.08 ¥17.09 -29%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.11 A$2.80 -61%
Fraport AG FRA €69.35 €49.83 -28%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,660 kr 1,821 -68%
SATS Ltd S58 4.45 SGD 4.03 SGD -9%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €50.60 €46.33 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Airports of Thailand Public Company (AOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 26.64 THB versus a price of 63.25 THB, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AOT?
Our model-based fair value for Airports of Thailand Public Company is 26.64 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 63.25 THB.
What is the quality score of AOT?
Airports of Thailand Public Company has a Quality Score of 74/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Airports of Thailand Public Company (AOT)?
Airports of Thailand Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 66.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AOT?
The net profit margin of Airports of Thailand Public Company is about 27.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Airports of Thailand Public Company pay a dividend?
Airports of Thailand Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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