AlphaPolis Co (APPLF) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $188M
AlphaPolis Co
APPLF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
A strong business, screening 87% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range ($7.17 to $15.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
4‑month range $6.00 – $13.00 · fair‑value band $7.17 – $15.18 · the $6.00 price screens below the $11.22 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
AlphaPolis Co (APPLF) currently trades at $6.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.22, implying the stock looks roughly 87.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AlphaPolis Co generated revenue of $16.6B at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue grew 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.17 (bear case) to $15.18 (bull case); at $6.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 87%, APPLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($17.70) versus Asset-Based ($2.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AlphaPolis Co., Ltd. engages in site management and books publishing businesses in Japan. The company publishes light novels, cartoons, and paperbacks, as well as other books comprising general novels, manga, and other content; and translation publications of overseas books. It also operates Alphapolis, a platform for viewing content, such as novels.
Full company description
AlphaPolis Co., Ltd. engages in site management and books publishing businesses in Japan. The company publishes light novels, cartoons, and paperbacks, as well as other books comprising general novels, manga, and other content; and translation publications of overseas books. It also operates Alphapolis, a platform for viewing content, such as novels. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AlphaPolis Co reported revenue of $13.6B in FY2025 versus $9.3B in FY2023, a compound +21.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2025, compounding +15.8%/yr from FY2023.
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Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $354.46 | $145.14 | -59% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $669.21 | $534.91 | -20% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$460.20 | HK$467.50 | +2% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $485.38 | $209.56 | -57% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $195.34 | $39.59 | -80% |
| Baidu, Inc BIDU | $109.50 | $66.96 | -39% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$44.70 | HK$101.03 | +126% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 191,300 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +21% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$34.74 | HK$65.78 | +89% |
| REA Group REA | A$149.14 | A$88.53 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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