ARA.TO (ARA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$985M (≈ $712M)
What is ARA.TO really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 514% above our fair value of C$0.5800.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of ARA.TO is C$0.5800 per share against a price of C$3.56, so the fair value sits 84% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from C$0.4200 to C$0.5800 (+38.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.8700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.4400 to C$0.8700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range C$0.2500 – C$5.22 · fair‑value band C$0.4400 – C$0.8700 · the C$3.56 price screens above the C$0.5800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
ARA.TO (ARA) currently trades at C$3.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.5800, implying the stock looks roughly 513.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
It earns a return on equity of −5.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$13.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.4400 (bear case) to C$0.8700 (bull case); at C$3.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 340% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −84%, ARA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aclara Resources Inc., a mining company, engages in the exploration and development of rare-earth mineral resources in Chile, Brazil and Peru. Aclara Resources Inc. was formerly known as 1303714 B.C. Ltd and changed its name to Aclara Resources Inc. in October 2021. Aclara Resources Inc.
Full company description
Aclara Resources Inc., a mining company, engages in the exploration and development of rare-earth mineral resources in Chile, Brazil and Peru. Aclara Resources Inc. was formerly known as 1303714 B.C. Ltd and changed its name to Aclara Resources Inc. in October 2021. Aclara Resources Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Santiago De Surco, Peru.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ARA.TO reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$8.4M in FY2025.
ARA screens 514% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.84 | A$42.16 | −37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.31 | $8.95 | −42% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | −48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | −12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $69.34 | $32.02 | −54% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | −11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥66.76 | ¥9.55 | −86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | −74% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | −31% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | −13% |
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