Arcontech Group Plc (ARC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arcontech Group Plc stock £1.62, price £0.79, upside +106.4%, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5715 – £1.51 · fair‑value band £1.24 – £1.95 · the £0.7850 price screens below the £1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Arcontech Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and sale of proprietary software in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, North America, Australasia, and the Asia Pacific.
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The company's products include Excelerator Desktop that provides a graphical user interface, which integrates various internal and external real-time data sources into a single-screen format; CityVision, a market data platform for real-time data reception, transformation, and publishing; and CityVision Multi-Vendor Contribution System that provides the ability to contribute data to various destinations.
It also provides Excelerator, a Microsoft excel add-in for real-time reception and publishing of market data; CityVision Cache, a real-time data repository; CityVision Symbol Mapper, a real-time data conversion system, which allows market data managers to separate data integration from the data source; and CityVision API that facilitates the development of real-time market data applications.
In addition, the company involved in the provision of computer consultancy services. The company was formerly known as Knowledge Technology Solutions PLC and changed its name to Arcontech Group plc in February 2009. Arcontech Group plc was founded in 1979 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Arcontech Group Plc (ARC) currently trades at £0.7850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 52% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £1.64 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the £0.7850 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.4900, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £1.24 (bear) to £1.95 (bull), the price of £0.7850 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Arcontech Group Plc reported revenue of £2.8M in FY2026 versus £2.8M in FY2022, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was £836K in FY2026, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap £10.5M Micro · P/E ratio 13.1 · P/S ratio 3.82 · EPS (TTM) £0.0600 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 30.4% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 106%, ARC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£1.24Fair Value £1.62Bull£1.95
Price £0.7850 · Upside +106.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0072 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4.4% vs 6.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 23%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−21.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −23.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 629 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+106.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.4% · Above median
Return on assets7.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)30.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)30.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−17.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.82× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.5× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arcontech Group Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARC
Frequently asked questions
Is Arcontech Group Plc (ARC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.62 versus a price of £0.7850, about +106% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARC?
Our model-based fair value for Arcontech Group Plc is £1.62 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.7850.
What is the quality score of ARC?
Arcontech Group Plc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.62 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.24, optimistic scenario £1.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arcontech Group Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.62, about +106% upside versus a price of £0.7850 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £1.24, optimistic scenario £1.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
Arcontech Group Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £2.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Arcontech Group Plc pay a dividend?
Arcontech Group Plc currently shows a dividend yield of 5.10% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Arcontech Group Plc pays a dividend of £0.04 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2017. The payout ratio is 66.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.46 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arcontech Group Plc would have to grow free cash flow by -21.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.7 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARC use?
Our models discount Arcontech Group Plc at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arcontech Group Plc that is -21.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arcontech Group Plc (ARC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arcontech Group Plc grew -1.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -21.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arcontech Group Plc (-21.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.41 %: that much free cash flow Arcontech Group Plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arcontech Group Plc it is £1.62 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of £0.7850. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Arcontech Group Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, ARC trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.7850, fair value £1.62, a gap of about +106% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.7850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.62). For Arcontech Group Plc the two are £0.8350 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arcontech Group Plc worth?
The market values Arcontech Group Plc at about £10.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is £0.7850; our models calculate a fair value of £1.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARC?
Our models span a range for Arcontech Group Plc: cautious scenario £1.24, base £1.62, optimistic £1.95 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price £0.7850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARC?
Arcontech Group Plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.62 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 14.8. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arcontech Group Plc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 9.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARC from its 52-week high?
Arcontech Group Plc trades at £0.7850, about 15% below its 52-week high of £0.9250 and 8% above the low of £0.7300 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arcontech Group Plc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arcontech Group Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price £0.7850, calculated fair value £1.62 (+106%), Quality Score 72/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARC calculated?
We run Arcontech Group Plc through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.62 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Arcontech Group Plc currently trades 52% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £0.7850. Our model-based fair value is £1.62, about +106% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arcontech Group Plc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (72/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Arcontech Group Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The market capitalisation of Arcontech Group Plc is £10.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arcontech Group Plc is 3.82 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
Earnings per share at Arcontech Group Plc are £0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The dividend yield of Arcontech Group Plc is 5.1% (payout 66.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The net margin of Arcontech Group Plc is 30.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arcontech Group Plc is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arcontech Group Plc is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
The operating margin of Arcontech Group Plc is 30.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
Revenue at Arcontech Group Plc is growing −17.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arcontech Group Plc (ARC)?
Earnings per share at Arcontech Group Plc are growing +4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Arcontech Group Plc (ARC) hold?
Arcontech Group Plc holds more cash than debt, £7.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026