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APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Aug 7, 2026: fair value of APT Satellite Holdings $0.33, price $0.29, upside +13.8%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
APT Satellite Holdings
ASEJF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $0.3300 · Undervalued (+13.8%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓16.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1110 – $0.6724 · fair‑value band $0.2500 – $0.4100 · the $0.2900 price screens below the $0.3300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
APT Satellite Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, maintains, operates, and provides satellite transponder capacity and related services, satellite-based broadcasting and telecommunications services, and other services in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally.
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APT Satellite Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, maintains, operates, and provides satellite transponder capacity and related services, satellite-based broadcasting and telecommunications services, and other services in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. The company provides satellite internet and broadband satellite IoT services; video transmission, satellite TV uplink, and occasional use transmission services; and teleport, satellite technical consulting, system integration, data center, and earth observation services. It also offers maritime and aviation solutions; and localized services. In addition, the company provides a range of Ka-band, HTS, and Ku-band transponder leasing services. Further, it operates in-orbit satellites consisting of APSTAR-5C, APSTAR-6C, APSTAR-7 and APSTAR-9, APSTAR-6E and APSTAR-6D in Asia, Oceania, Middle East, and Africa. Further, the company engages in the provision of management and project management consultancy services. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Tai Po, Hong Kong. APT Satellite Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of APT Satellite International Company Limited.
Stock analysis
APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF) currently trades at $0.2900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3300, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.5700 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.2900 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1000, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2500 (bear) to $0.4100 (bull), the price of $0.2900 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
APT Satellite Holdings reported revenue of HK$739M in FY2025 versus HK$928M in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$142M in FY2025, compounding −14.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $636M · P/E ratio 34.3 · P/S ratio 6.57 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Net margin 19.2% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% · Operating margin 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 14%, ASEJF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2500
Fair Value $0.3300
Bull $0.4100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.5100
$0.6300
$0.8500
82
Growth DCF
$0.5200
$0.6400
$0.8300
80
Owner Earnings
$0.6400
$0.8000
$1.08
78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.5100
$0.6300
$0.8500
82
Owner Earnings
$0.6400
$0.8000
$1.08
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.3100
$0.3600
$0.4400
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.5500
$0.7800
$1.08
75
5Y P/E Exit
$0.4100
$0.5300
$0.6800
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.3900
$0.4500
$0.5000
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.5300
$0.7000
$0.8800
70
10Y P/E Exit
$0.4500
$0.5500
$0.6500
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.1300
$0.2200
$0.2700
67
EPV
$0.1300
$0.1400
$0.1500
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.0900
$0.1000
$0.1200
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1400
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.3200
$0.4300
$0.5400
63
P/S Multiple
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4100
58
P/B Multiple
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4100
55
EV/EBIT
$0.2000
$0.2500
$0.2900
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.6700
$0.8800
$1.08
67
EV/Revenue
$0.1600
$0.2100
$0.2600
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.4200
$0.5700
$0.8500
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.5200
$0.6400
$0.8300
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.3100
$0.3700
$0.4400
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.5700
$0.5400
$0.5300
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.1300
$0.1400
$0.1500
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.2300
$0.3200
$0.4200
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
63/100
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Profitability
27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.7% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.7% vs −11.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.34% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
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Compare APT Satellite Holdings with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 80941 | HK$67.30 | HK$114.85 | +71% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $45.87 | $70.27 | +53% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $162.98 | $272.88 | +67% |
| AT&T Inc T | $24.48 | $51.11 | +109% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,741 | ₹1,883 | +8% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.16 | ¥8.36 | +36% |
| Saudi Telecom Company 7010 | 43.22 SAR | 41.80 SAR | −3% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 | 4.28 SGD | 2.16 SGD | −50% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 639.00 | CHF 505.18 | −21% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.83 | A$4.43 | −8% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3300 versus the last price from Aug 7, 2026 of $0.2900, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASEJF?
Our model-based fair value for APT Satellite Holdings is $0.3300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 7, 2026): $0.2900.
What is the quality score of ASEJF?
APT Satellite Holdings has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.4100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the APT Satellite Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3300, about +14% upside versus the last price from Aug 7, 2026 of $0.2900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.4100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
APT Satellite Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$739M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, APT Satellite Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASEJF use?
Our models discount APT Satellite Holdings at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.85, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For APT Satellite Holdings that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at APT Satellite Holdings grew -3.6 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into APT Satellite Holdings (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.56 %: that much free cash flow APT Satellite Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For APT Satellite Holdings it is $0.3300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2900. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is APT Satellite Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ASEJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2900, fair value $0.3300, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASEJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3300). For APT Satellite Holdings the two are $0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is APT Satellite Holdings worth?
The market values APT Satellite Holdings at about $636M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2900; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASEJF?
Our models span a range for APT Satellite Holdings: cautious scenario $0.2500, base $0.3300, optimistic $0.4100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASEJF?
APT Satellite Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.3300 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for APT Satellite Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASEJF from its 52-week high?
APT Satellite Holdings trades at $0.2900, about 57% below its 52-week high of $0.6724 and 15% above the low of $0.2520 (as of Aug 7, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to APT Satellite Holdings?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is APT Satellite Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2900, calculated fair value $0.3300 (+14%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASEJF calculated?
We run APT Satellite Holdings through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. APT Satellite Holdings currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 7, 2026 and stands at $0.2900. Our model-based fair value is $0.3300, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with APT Satellite Holdings right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF) come from?
Earnings per share at APT Satellite Holdings grew −10.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.8 %, EBIT margin −6.0 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of APT Satellite Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
The market capitalisation of APT Satellite Holdings is $636M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of APT Satellite Holdings is 6.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
Earnings per share at APT Satellite Holdings are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
The net margin of APT Satellite Holdings is 19.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of APT Satellite Holdings is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of APT Satellite Holdings is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
The operating margin of APT Satellite Holdings is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
Revenue at APT Satellite Holdings is growing −8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF)?
Earnings per share at APT Satellite Holdings are growing −38.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does APT Satellite Holdings (ASEJF) hold?
APT Satellite Holdings holds more cash than debt, HK$326M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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