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Data-driven stock valuation

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V (ASURB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · MX · Market cap 150B MXN (≈ $8.8B) · ISIN MXP001661018

At a glance

GA Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V ASURB · MX
Price444.46 MXN
Fair Value746.49 MXN
Upside+68.0%
Quality65/100

A solid business, trading 40% below our fair value of 746.49 MXN.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V is 746.49 MXN per share against a price of 444.46 MXN, so the fair value sits 68% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +24.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 26.2% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/15)
✓Wide moat 78/100
!Weak on future: 4 out of 100
Evidence: High Range 367.60 MXN to 1,224 MXN

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 795.04 MXN to 746.49 MXN (−6.1%) since Jul 13, 2026.

Watch Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (367.60 MXN to 1,224 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

638.54 MXN 261.79 MXN Fair Value 746.49 MXN May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 261.79 MXN – 638.54 MXN · fair‑value band 367.60 MXN – 1,224 MXN · the 444.46 MXN price screens below the 746.49 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V (ASURB) currently trades at 444.46 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 746.49 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 40.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 941.80 MXN per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the 444.46 MXN price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 95.54 MXN, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V generated revenue of 37.3B MXN at a net margin of 26.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.8%. Net debt stands at 16.4B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Scenario range: 367.60 MXN (bear) to 1,224 MXN (bull), the price of 444.46 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 68%, ASURB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (22.43 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV 409.14 MXN 486.80 MXN 554.75 MXN 74
FCF DCF 184.57 MXN 377.23 MXN 881.01 MXN 73
Growth DCF 176.54 MXN 425.79 MXN 842.94 MXN 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 184.57 MXN 377.23 MXN 881.01 MXN 73
Owner Earnings 259.06 MXN 611.18 MXN 1,308 MXN 70
5Y Revenue Exit 137.16 MXN 309.25 MXN 562.77 MXN 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 497.57 MXN 1,121 MXN 1,995 MXN 71
5Y P/E Exit 418.53 MXN 949.96 MXN 1,617 MXN 68
10Y Revenue Exit 144.14 MXN 323.52 MXN 606.15 MXN 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 399.49 MXN 957.14 MXN 1,950 MXN 63
10Y P/E Exit 344.93 MXN 818.19 MXN 1,602 MXN 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 257.44 MXN 1,601 MXN 2,236 MXN 63
Lynch FV 460.60 MXN 657.99 MXN 855.39 MXN 61
PEG = 1.0 460.60 MXN 657.99 MXN 855.39 MXN 57
EPV 409.14 MXN 486.80 MXN 554.75 MXN 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 596.28 MXN 795.04 MXN 993.81 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 201.61 MXN 268.81 MXN 336.02 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 481.28 MXN 641.71 MXN 802.14 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 725.24 MXN 985.93 MXN 1,247 MXN 66
EV/EBITDA 655.98 MXN 893.58 MXN 1,131 MXN 67
EV/Revenue 112.52 MXN 185.10 MXN 257.68 MXN 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 71.30 MXN 95.54 MXN 142.60 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 176.54 MXN 425.79 MXN 842.94 MXN 73
Rev-Margin DCF 137.16 MXN 304.28 MXN 542.85 MXN 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income 260.09 MXN 354.06 MXN 2,251 MXN 64
ROIC Compounder 508.27 MXN 746.16 MXN 1,074 MXN 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 659.26 MXN 941.80 MXN 1,224 MXN 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (941.80 MXN) versus Asset-Based (95.54 MXN). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.3 as of Jul 13, 2026
P/S ratio 4.31 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 32.60 MXN price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.3
Net margin 28.2% FY2025
Return on equity 17.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 19.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 52.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 37.3B MXN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8% 3y avg +13.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −20.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 4.5B MXN FY2025
Net debt 16.4B MXN FY2025 · ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services, and Other segments.

Full company description

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services, and Other segments. It operates the airports in Cozumel, Huatulco, Mérida, Minatitlán, Oaxaca, Tapachula, Veracruz, and Villahermosa; and offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing and parking, passenger walkways, and airport security. The company also provides non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, airlines, and other commercial tenants; luggage check-in, sorting and handling, aircraft servicing and cleaning, cargo handling, aircraft catering services, and assistance with passenger boarding and deplaning; and open-air parking lots for commercial vehicle operators, including taxi, bus and other ground transport operators; and other commercial activities. In addition, the company operates various airports in Colombia, including the Enrique Olaya Herrera Airport in Medellín, the José María Córdova International Airport in Rionegro, the Los Garzones Airport in Montería, the Antonio Roldán Betancourt Airport in Carepa, the El Caraño Airport in Quibdó, and the Las Brujas Airport in Corozal; and holds a lease to operate, maintain, and develop the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V reported revenue of 37.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 18.8B MXN in FY2021, a compound +18.7%/yr. Reported net income was 10.5B MXN in FY2025, compounding +15.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
37.2B MXN
Latest YoY
+18.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MXN) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+13.9%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26.0% (2020) → 45.6% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop64% (2020) · in MXN
Revenue +18.7%/yr
FY21 18.8B MXN
FY22 25.3B MXN
FY23 25.8B MXN
FY24 31.3B MXN
FY25 37.2B MXN
Net income +15.1%/yr
FY21 6.0B MXN
FY22 10.0B MXN
FY23 10.2B MXN
FY24 13.6B MXN
FY25 10.5B MXN

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746.49 MXN +40%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASURB

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 53 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside −2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Above median
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 18.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.68× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.79× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.01× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.92× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+11.3 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+24.2 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price3.41 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.3 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE30 · sector 40
FUTURE4 · sector 33
PAST71 · sector 47
HEALTH66 · sector 87
DIVIDEND100 · sector 59

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.42 €26.90 +2%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.58 SGD 1.25 SGD −52%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹102.70 ₹22.29 −78%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 208.80 CHF 121.30 −42%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥23.41 ¥17.09 −27%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.09 A$2.76 −61%
Fraport AG FRA €62.40 €49.83 −20%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,440 kr 1,821 −67%
SATS Ltd S58 4.07 SGD 4.03 SGD −1%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €53.00 €46.33 −13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V (ASURB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 746.49 MXN versus a price of 444.46 MXN, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASURB?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V is 746.49 MXN (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 444.46 MXN.
What is the quality score of ASURB?
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V (ASURB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 746.49 MXN (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 367.60 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,224 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 746.49 MXN, about +68% upside versus a price of 444.46 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 367.60 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,224 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V (ASURB)?
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 37.3B MXN (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASURB?
The net profit margin of Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V is about 26.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V (ASURB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V would have to grow free cash flow by +11.3 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.2 % per year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASURB use?
Our models discount Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.18. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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