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Ames National Corporation (ATLO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ames National Corporation stock $21.41, price $33.90, that is 36.8% below the price, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

AN Ames National Corporation logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

Ames National Corporation

ATLO · US
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 37% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 60/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.0 %/yr in USD)
Highly profitable · 33.3% net margin (TTM)
2.7% dividend yield · Low payout
Positive coverage
Broad data
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +28%, profit +55%.
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 69/100 · thin data
Insiders bought $44,416 (6M)
Fair value $21.41 · Strongly overvalued
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$34.90 $13.33 Fair Value $21.41 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.33 – $34.90 · fair‑value band $19.82 – $24.76 · the $33.90 price screens above the $21.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Ames National Corporation operates as a multi-bank holding company that provides banking products and services primarily in Boone, Clarke, Hancock, Marshall, Polk, Story, Taylor, and Union Counties in central, north-central, and south-central Iowa.

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It accepts various deposit products, including checking and savings accounts; and time deposits, such as money market accounts and certificates of deposit.

The company also provides loans, such as short-term and medium-term commercial, multi-family and agricultural real estate, residential real estate loans, equipment, vehicle, and home improvement loans; consumer loans to finance consumer purchases, such as automobiles, trucks, recreational vehicles, household furnishings, boats, personal loans, and lines of credit; agricultural and business operating loans and lines of credit; and originates mortgage loans for sale into the secondary market.

In addition, it offers cash management, merchant credit card processing, safe deposit box, wire transfer, direct deposit, and automated/video teller machine access services; and automatic drafts for various accounts, as well as wealth management services.

Further, it provides farm management, investment, and custodial services for individuals, businesses, and non-profit organizations; and online, mobile, and private banking services. Ames National Corporation was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Ames, Iowa.

Stock analysis

Ames National Corporation (ATLO) currently trades at $33.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.41, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $28.79 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $33.90 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.50, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $19.82 (bear) to $24.76 (bull), the price of $33.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Ames National Corporation reported revenue of $98.3M in FY2025 versus $71.0M in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $19.0M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $300M Small · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 3.93 · EPS (TTM) $2.87 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 33.3% · Return on equity 12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −37%, ATLO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $19.82 Fair Value $21.41 Bull $24.76
Price $33.90 · Downside -36.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.67 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $19.82 $21.41 $24.76 76
Gordon GGM $6.86 $13.33 $19.68 67
DDM Multi-Stage $6.86 $10.36 $13.85 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.86 $13.33 $19.68 67
DDM Multi-Stage $6.86 $10.36 $13.85 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.94 $27.93 $34.91 63
P/B Multiple $22.23 $29.64 $37.06 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.31 $3.50 $4.38 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.82 $21.41 $24.76 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 30
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 76
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 3
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 81
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 94
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 73
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 97
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 88
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 4 officers or directors bought shares worth $44,416, most recently on Oct 30, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyAdam SnodgrassPresident of subsidiary bank200 shares at $34.13$6,826Nov 3, 2026
  • BuyMichelle R CassabaumDirector7× since Jan 30, 2026: 1,107 shares, avg. $28.62$31,678Oct 30, 2026
  • BuyJeffery C BakerDirector300 shares at $31.88$9,564Sep 9, 2026
  • BuyDouglas W BealsDirector2× since Nov 13, 2025: 825 shares, avg. $25.23$20,812Aug 20, 2026
  • BuyRichard SchreierPresident of subsidiary bank316 shares at $31.60$9,986Aug 14, 2026
  • BuyPatrick G HaganDirector2× since May 12, 2026: 300 shares, avg. $27.68$8,303May 15, 2026
  • BuyScot A. TrostDirector200 shares at $22.88$4,576Dec 10, 2025
  • BuyScott T BauerPresident of subsidiary bank20 shares at $21.68$434Dec 2, 2025
  • BuyKevin L SwartzDirector200 shares at $20.80$4,160Nov 21, 2025
  • BuyJeffrey K PutzierPresident of subsidiary bank200 shares at $21.25$4,250Nov 17, 2025

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.7% vs 2.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 24%
2025 sits 77% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

ATLO screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (46 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 996 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 12.5% · Above median
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 33.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 46.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 27.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.93× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 14.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.03× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)50 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)54 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs ATLO
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs ATLO
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs ATLO
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs ATLO
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs ATLO
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs ATLO
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.89 −37% vs ATLO
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs ATLO
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs ATLO
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs ATLO

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ames National Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATLO

Frequently asked questions

Is Ames National Corporation (ATLO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.41 versus a price of $33.90, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATLO?
Our model-based fair value for Ames National Corporation is $21.41 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $33.90.
What is the quality score of ATLO?
Ames National Corporation has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.41 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $19.82, optimistic scenario $24.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ames National Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.41, about 37% lower versus a price of $33.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $19.82, optimistic scenario $24.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Ames National Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $76.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Ames National Corporation pay a dividend?
Ames National Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 2.71% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ames National Corporation (ATLO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Ames National Corporation pays a dividend of $0.92 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1998. The payout ratio is 32.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ames National Corporation it is $21.41 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $33.90. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Ames National Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ATLO trades above its calculated fair value: price $33.90, fair value $21.41, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATLO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($33.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.41). For Ames National Corporation the two are $12.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ames National Corporation worth?
The market values Ames National Corporation at about $300M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $33.90; our models calculate a fair value of $21.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATLO?
Our models span a range for Ames National Corporation: cautious scenario $19.82, base $21.41, optimistic $24.76 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $33.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ATLO?
Ames National Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.8 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.41 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 14.2. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 1.4, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 12.2.
What is the PEG ratio of ATLO?
The PEG ratio of Ames National Corporation is 1.03 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ames National Corporation (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 12.5%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATLO from its 52-week high?
Ames National Corporation trades at $33.90, about 3% below its 52-week high of $34.90 and 67% above the low of $20.36 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ames National Corporation?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ames National Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $33.90, calculated fair value $21.41 (−37%), Quality Score 60/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATLO calculated?
We run Ames National Corporation through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $21.41 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Ames National Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $33.90. Our model-based fair value is $21.41, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ames National Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($24.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Ames National Corporation (ATLO) come from?
Earnings per share at Ames National Corporation grew −1.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin −9.2 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ames National Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
The market capitalisation of Ames National Corporation is $300M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ames National Corporation is 3.93 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Earnings per share at Ames National Corporation are $2.87 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
The dividend yield of Ames National Corporation is 2.7% (payout 32.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
The net margin of Ames National Corporation is 33.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ames National Corporation is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ames National Corporation is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
The operating margin of Ames National Corporation is 46.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Revenue at Ames National Corporation is growing +27.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Earnings per share at Ames National Corporation are growing +55.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ames National Corporation (ATLO) generate?
The free cash flow of Ames National Corporation is $20.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ames National Corporation (ATLO) carry?
The net debt of Ames National Corporation is $39.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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