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Ames National Corporation (ATLO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $261M

AN Ames National Corporation logo Ames National Corporation ATLO · US
Price$31.25
Fair Value$27.93
Upside-10.6%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 31.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.14% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $20.94 – $34.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +8.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $20.94 (bear) to $34.91 (bull), base $27.93. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$31.43 $13.33 Fair Value $27.93 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.33 – $31.43 · fair‑value band $20.94 – $34.91 · the $31.25 price screens above the $27.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Ames National Corporation (ATLO) currently trades at $31.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.93, implying the stock looks roughly 10.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ames National Corporation generated revenue of $69.1M at a net margin of 31.2%. Revenue grew 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $39.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.94 (bear case) to $34.91 (bull case); at $31.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -11%, ATLO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $18.16 $19.11 $20.17 76
Gordon GGM $5.59 $9.37 $12.16 70
P/E Multiple $20.94 $27.93 $34.91 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.59 $9.37 $12.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.59 $7.92 $9.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.94 $27.93 $34.91 63
P/B Multiple $24.65 $32.86 $41.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.74 $15.73 $23.47 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.16 $19.11 $20.17 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($27.93) versus Dividend Discount ($7.92). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $69.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.0%
Net margin 31.2%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow $20.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.2
More key figures
Operating margin 43.1%
EPS (TTM) $2.42
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +74.3%
Net debt $39.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ames National Corporation operates as a multi-bank holding company that provides banking products and services primarily in Boone, Clarke, Hancock, Marshall, Polk, Story, Taylor, and Union Counties in central, north-central, and south-central Iowa.

Full company description

Ames National Corporation operates as a multi-bank holding company that provides banking products and services primarily in Boone, Clarke, Hancock, Marshall, Polk, Story, Taylor, and Union Counties in central, north-central, and south-central Iowa. It accepts various deposit products, including checking and savings accounts; and time deposits, such as money market accounts and certificates of deposit. The company also provides loans, such as short-term and medium-term commercial, multi-family and agricultural real estate, residential real estate loans, equipment, vehicle, and home improvement loans; consumer loans to finance consumer purchases, such as automobiles, trucks, recreational vehicles, household furnishings, boats, personal loans, and lines of credit; agricultural and business operating loans and lines of credit; and originates mortgage loans for sale into the secondary market. In addition, it offers cash management, merchant credit card processing, safe deposit box, wire transfer, direct deposit, and automated/video teller machine access services; and automatic drafts for various accounts, as well as wealth management services. Further, it provides farm management, investment, and custodial services for individuals, businesses, and non-profit organizations; and online, mobile, and private banking services. Ames National Corporation was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Ames, Iowa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ames National Corporation reported revenue of $98.3M in FY2025 versus $71.0M in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $19.0M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$98.3M
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 $71.0M
FY22 $71.2M
FY23 $83.5M
FY24 $92.4M
FY25 $98.3M
Net income −5.6%/yr
FY21 $23.9M
FY22 $19.3M
FY23 $10.8M
FY24 $10.2M
FY25 $19.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.2 pp

of which total revenue +6.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp

EBIT margin −9.2 pp
Tax rate +1.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ATLO screens 11% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ames National Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATLO

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −11% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Above median
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.78× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.03× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 44 · sector 41
HEALTH 95 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 43 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ames National Corporation (ATLO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.93 versus a price of $31.25, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATLO?
Our model-based fair value for Ames National Corporation is $27.93 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $31.25.
What is the quality score of ATLO?
Ames National Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)?
Ames National Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $69.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATLO?
The net profit margin of Ames National Corporation is about 31.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ames National Corporation pay a dividend?
Ames National Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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