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ATN International, Inc (ATNI) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $395M

AI ATN International, Inc logo ATN International, Inc ATNI · US
Price$31.97
Fair Value$19.35
Upside-39.5%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.13% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range $19.35 – $25.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +29.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$43.31 $13.27 Fair Value $19.35 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.27 – $43.31 · fair‑value band $19.35 – $25.29 · the $31.97 price screens above the $19.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

ATN International, Inc (ATNI) currently trades at $31.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.35, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, ATN International, Inc generated revenue of $731M at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. Net debt stands at $577M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $19.35 (bear case) to $25.29 (bull case); at $31.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 136% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -39%, ATNI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.28 $24.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $10.90 $28.97 74
Gordon GGM $7.92 $14.26 $19.64 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.33 $30.40 38
Owner Earnings $0.9900 $15.30 31
5Y Revenue Exit $10.87 $30.32 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $38.20 $92.30 $157.23 41
10Y Revenue Exit $8.80 $27.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $21.13 $61.15 $117.55 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.92 $14.26 $19.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.92 $12.99 $15.24 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $3.93 $15.27 $26.61 53
EV/EBITDA $76.10 $111.50 $146.90 54
EV/Revenue $6.76 $17.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.44 $19.35 $28.89 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.28 $24.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $10.90 $28.97 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($19.35) versus Growth DCF ($9.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $731M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin -1.2%
Return on equity -2.4%
Free cash flow $43.9M FY2025
Operating margin 8.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.9800
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -57.3%
Net debt $577M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ATN International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital infrastructure and communications services to residential, business, and government customers in the United States, Guyana, the US Virgin Islands, Bermuda, and internationally. It operates through International Telecom and US Telecom segments.

Full company description

ATN International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital infrastructure and communications services to residential, business, and government customers in the United States, Guyana, the US Virgin Islands, Bermuda, and internationally. It operates through International Telecom and US Telecom segments. The company offers fixed data and voice telecommunication services comprising fiber broadband and data solutions; carrier telecommunication services consisting of the leasing of tower and transport facilities, wholesale roaming and long-distance voice services, site maintenance, and international long-distance services; and mobile telecommunication services over wireless networks, including voice, messaging, and data services. It also provides information technology managed services, such as network, application, infrastructure, and hosting services; and repairs and sells handsets and other accessories. ATN International, Inc. was formerly known as Atlantic Tele-Network, Inc. and changed its name to ATN International, Inc. in June 2016. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Beverly, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ATN International, Inc reported revenue of $728M in FY2025 versus $603M in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 46/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$728M
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY21 $603M
FY22 $726M
FY23 $762M
FY24 $729M
FY25 $728M
Net income
FY21 −$22.1M
FY22 −$5.6M
FY23 −$14.5M
FY24 −$26.4M
FY25 −$14.9M

ATNI screens 39% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ATN International, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATNI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 250 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.31× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.89× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 8 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 35 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 83 · sector 73

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ATN International, Inc (ATNI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.35 versus a price of $31.97, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATNI?
Our model-based fair value for ATN International, Inc is $19.35 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $31.97.
What is the quality score of ATNI?
ATN International, Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ATN International, Inc (ATNI)?
ATN International, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $731M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATNI?
The net profit margin of ATN International, Inc is about -1.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ATN International, Inc pay a dividend?
ATN International, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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