Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alara Resources Ltd stock A$0.05, price A$0.06, that is 10.7% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.0940 · fair‑value band A$0.0319 – A$0.0808 · the A$0.0580 price screens above the A$0.0518 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Alara Resources Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral exploration licenses in Australia and Oman. It explores for copper, gold, and silver deposits.
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Alara Resources Limited was formerly known as Alara Uranium Ltd and changed its name to Alara Resources Limited in September 2008. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in North Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ) currently trades at A$0.0580, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0518, 11% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.4300 per share, and 13 of the 15 models we run sit above the A$0.0580 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0200, and 2 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0319 (bear) to A$0.0808 (bull), the price of A$0.0580 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Alara Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$134M in FY2026 versus A$11.2K in FY2022, a compound +947.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$11.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$47.3M (≈ $32.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.8 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 140% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 17.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −11%, AUQ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0319Fair Value A$0.0518BullA$0.0808
Price A$0.0580 · Downside -10.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0036 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPVA$0.2200A$0.2600A$0.310074
EV/EBITDAA$0.3000A$0.4400A$0.570067
ROIC CompounderA$0.3100A$0.5300A$0.850067
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner EarningsA$0.3700A$0.9500A$2.2366
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddA$0.0800A$0.5800A$0.810061
Lynch FVA$0.3000A$0.4300A$0.560059
PEG = 1.0A$0.3000A$0.4300A$0.560055
EPVA$0.2200A$0.2600A$0.310074
Multiples
P/E MultipleA$0.1600A$0.2100A$0.260063
P/S MultipleA$0.1600A$0.2100A$0.260058
P/B MultipleA$0.0200A$0.0300A$0.040054
EV/EBITA$0.2000A$0.3000A$0.400065
EV/EBITDAA$0.3000A$0.4400A$0.570067
EV/RevenueA$0.0500A$0.1100A$0.180050
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.0100A$0.0200A$0.030052
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$0.0900A$0.1500A$0.490056
ROIC CompounderA$0.3100A$0.5300A$0.850067
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EA$0.3700A$0.5300A$0.680065
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+143.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1,645.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+547.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +91.8% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+103.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+99.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+99.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−13,059% → 20%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Above median
Fair Value upside−10.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)140.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)17.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)117.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.03× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0518 versus a price of A$0.0580, about 11% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AUQ?
Our model-based fair value for Alara Resources Ltd is A$0.0518 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0580.
What is the quality score of AUQ?
Alara Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0518 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0319, optimistic scenario A$0.0808. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alara Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0518, about 11% lower versus a price of A$0.0580 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0319, optimistic scenario A$0.0808. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
Alara Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$134M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alara Resources Ltd it is A$0.0518 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of A$0.0580. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Alara Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, AUQ trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0580, fair value A$0.0518, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0580); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0518). For Alara Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0062 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alara Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Alara Resources Ltd at about A$47.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0580; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0518 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUQ?
Our models span a range for Alara Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0319, base A$0.0518, optimistic A$0.0808 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price A$0.0580). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AUQ?
Alara Resources Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.8 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0518 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 1.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alara Resources Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 140.4%, debt of 3.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUQ from its 52-week high?
Alara Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0580, about 25% below its 52-week high of A$0.0770 and 100% above the low of A$0.0290 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0518 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alara Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alara Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price A$0.0580, calculated fair value A$0.0518 (−11%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUQ calculated?
We run Alara Resources Ltd through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0518 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Alara Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0580. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0518, about 11% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alara Resources Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (A$0.0319 to A$0.0808) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Alara Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
The market capitalisation of Alara Resources Ltd is A$47.3M (≈ $32.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alara Resources Ltd is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
Earnings per share at Alara Resources Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
The net margin of Alara Resources Ltd is 8.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alara Resources Ltd is 140% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alara Resources Ltd is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
The operating margin of Alara Resources Ltd is 17.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ)?
Revenue at Alara Resources Ltd is growing +118% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1,645%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ) generate?
The free cash flow of Alara Resources Ltd is −A$3.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alara Resources Ltd (AUQ) carry?
The net debt of Alara Resources Ltd is A$96.5M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Why does Alara Resources Ltd meet the fair value rule although the fair value shown is lower?
Peak profit dampened: A$0.1740 → A$0.0518. The latest annual profit is far above the years before, and such peaks rarely last. So we calculate cautiously with A$0.0518 instead of A$0.1740. If the profit stays high, we ease the caution year by year. As in the backtest, the fair value rule checks the value before: +200% against the price.
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Nov 5, 2026