Alara Resources Limited (AUQ) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$29.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$0.0478 to A$0.0410 (−14.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +17.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0266 to A$0.0554) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0130 – A$0.0940 · fair‑value band A$0.0266 – A$0.0554 · the A$0.0400 price screens below the A$0.0410 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Alara Resources Limited (AUQ) currently trades at A$0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0410, implying the stock looks roughly 2.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alara Resources Limited generated revenue of A$92.1M at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 194.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.7%. Net debt stands at A$89.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0266 (bear case) to A$0.0554 (bull case); at A$0.0400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 3%, AUQ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.1200) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alara Resources Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral exploration licenses in Australia and Oman. It explores for copper, gold, and silver deposits. Alara Resources Limited was formerly known as Alara Uranium Ltd and changed its name to Alara Resources Limited in September 2008.
Full company description
Alara Resources Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral exploration licenses in Australia and Oman. It explores for copper, gold, and silver deposits. Alara Resources Limited was formerly known as Alara Uranium Ltd and changed its name to Alara Resources Limited in September 2008. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in North Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alara Resources Limited reported revenue of A$55.1M in FY2025 versus A$11.8K in FY2021, a compound +727.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$10.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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