Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V MXN 10.05, price MXN 7.47, upside +34.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.25 MXN – 15.77 MXN · fair‑value band 6.25 MXN – 16.64 MXN · the 7.47 MXN price screens below the 10.05 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Compañía Minera Autlán, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the production and marketing of manganese minerals and ferroalloys in Mexico and internationally. It is also involved in the electricity generation and mining of precious metals.
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Compañía Minera Autlán, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the production and marketing of manganese minerals and ferroalloys in Mexico and internationally. It is also involved in the electricity generation and mining of precious metals. The company offers ferroalloy and manganese products, including high, medium, and low carbon ferromanganese; silicomanganese; nitrided medium carbon ferromanganese; manganese nodules and carbonates; and other specialty ferroalloys, as well as manganese derivatives, such as battery-grade natural manganese dioxide, ceramic-grade natural manganese dioxide, and manganous oxide products. In addition, the company generates electricity through hydroelectric plant; and produces electrolytic manganese dioxides. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico. Compañía Minera Autlán, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a subsidiary of Autlán Holding, SAPI de CV.
Stock analysis
Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB) currently trades at 7.47 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.05 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 25.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 10 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 6.25 MXN (bear) to 16.64 MXN (bull), the price of 7.47 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of $323M in FY2025 versus $450M in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$38.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B MXN (≈ $134M) · P/S ratio 7.10 · EPS (TTM) −1.96 MXN · Net margin −11.8% · Return on equity −14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin 0.2% · Revenue (TTM) 341M MXN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 35%, AUTLANB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.25 MXNFair Value 10.05 MXNBull 16.64 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.4% (2020) → −0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +48.6% a year for the price.
Compare Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+35% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.74× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AUTLANB
Frequently asked questions
Is Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.05 MXN versus a price of 7.47 MXN, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AUTLANB?
Our model-based fair value for Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is 10.05 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.47 MXN.
What is the quality score of AUTLANB?
Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.05 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.25 MXN, optimistic scenario 16.64 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.05 MXN, about +35% upside versus a price of 7.47 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6.25 MXN, optimistic scenario 16.64 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 341M MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +53.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AUTLANB use?
Our models discount Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V that is +53.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V grew -1.4 % a year. The price currently implies +53.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (+53.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.03 %: that much free cash flow Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V it is 10.05 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 7.47 MXN. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AUTLANB trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.47 MXN, fair value 10.05 MXN, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUTLANB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.47 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.05 MXN). For Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V the two are 2.58 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V at about 2.4B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 7.47 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 10.05 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUTLANB?
Our models span a range for Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 6.25 MXN, base 10.05 MXN, optimistic 16.64 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 7.47 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −14.4%, debt of 0.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUTLANB from its 52-week high?
Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V trades at 7.47 MXN, about 7% below its 52-week high of 7.99 MXN and 9% above the low of 6.84 MXN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.05 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 7.47 MXN, calculated fair value 10.05 MXN (+35%), Quality Score 51/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUTLANB calculated?
We run Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.05 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 7.47 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 10.05 MXN, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The model range is unusually wide (6.25 MXN to 16.64 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
The market capitalisation of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is 2.4B MXN (≈ $134M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is 7.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
Earnings per share at Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V are −1.96 MXN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
The net margin of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is −11.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is −14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
The operating margin of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
Revenue at Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is growing +22.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB)?
Earnings per share at Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V are growing +33.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V (AUTLANB) carry?
The net debt of Compañía Minera Autlán S.A.B. de C.V is 165M MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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