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Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Avalon Technologies Limited ₹450, price ₹2,281, upside -80.3%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · IN · ISIN INE0LCL01028

AT Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Avalon Technologies Limited

AVALON · BSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ₹450.18 · Strongly overvalued (−80.3%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +19.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 51/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹2,536 ₹356.60 Fair Value ₹450.18 Apr 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range ₹356.60 – ₹2,536 · fair‑value band ₹193.42 – ₹566.93 · the ₹2,281 price screens above the ₹450.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Avalon Technologies Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated electronic manufacturing services in India, the United States, and internationally.

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Avalon Technologies Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated electronic manufacturing services in India, the United States, and internationally. Its capabilities include printed circuit board assemblies; custom cables and wire harness assemblies; magnetic assemblies; sheet metal fabrication and assemblies, as well as contract services; aerospace sheet metal fabrication; precision injection molding for plastics; new product introduction, including prototype building services; design for manufacturing implementation; product engineering; volume production; life cycle management; system integration and turnkey solutions; machining; and supply chain and logistics. The company also offers electro-mechanical systems and racks; box build for railway signaling systems; machined components for aerospace, such as commercial engines, seating, and cargo systems; precision-machined components for specialized locomotive braking systems; and magnetic components, including transformers, inductors, and chokes. It serves the clean energy, mobility, communication, and industrial sectors. Avalon Technologies Limited was founded in 1995 and is based in Chennai, India.

Stock analysis

Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) currently trades at ₹2,281, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹450.18, 80.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹626.55 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ₹2,281 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹57.77, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹193.42 (bear) to ₹566.93 (bull), the price of ₹2,281 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Avalon Technologies Limited reported revenue of ₹16.0B in FY2026 versus ₹8.4B in FY2022, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.1B in FY2026, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹152B (≈ $1.6B) · P/E ratio 113.9 · P/S ratio 8.03 · EPS (TTM) ₹20.02 · Net margin 7.0% · Return on equity 16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% · Operating margin 10.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 188% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −80%, AVALON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹54.79 to ₹801.68). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹193.42 Fair Value ₹450.18 Bull ₹566.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹10.20 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹40.36 ₹54.79 ₹97.90 75
Growth DCF ₹38.38 ₹57.77 ₹93.44 74
Residual Income ₹103.19 ₹129.18 ₹188.73 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹40.36 ₹54.79 ₹97.90 75
Owner Earnings ₹208.79 ₹423.09 ₹820.73 69
5Y Revenue Exit ₹159.86 ₹305.18 ₹612.17 65
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹260.88 ₹509.22 ₹998.09 68
5Y P/E Exit ₹264.18 ₹651.85 ₹1,192 64
10Y Revenue Exit ₹113.01 ₹310.83 ₹459.38 62
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹187.63 ₹509.22 ₹1,102 59
10Y P/E Exit ₹189.82 ₹515.70 ₹1,077 56
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹114.95 ₹801.68 ₹1,125 60
Lynch FV ₹304.83 ₹435.48 ₹566.12 58
PEG = 1.0 ₹304.83 ₹435.48 ₹566.12 55
EPV ₹141.17 ₹159.19 ₹174.21 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹355.01 ₹473.34 ₹591.68 63
P/S Multiple ₹215.54 ₹287.39 ₹359.23 58
P/B Multiple ₹215.54 ₹287.39 ₹359.23 55
EV/EBIT ₹385.45 ₹510.93 ₹636.42 66
EV/EBITDA ₹359.22 ₹475.97 ₹592.71 67
EV/Revenue ₹199.31 ₹280.87 ₹362.44 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹54.01 ₹72.37 ₹108.02 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹38.38 ₹57.77 ₹93.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹103.19 ₹129.18 ₹188.73 72
ROIC Compounder ₹166.05 ₹226.74 ₹265.86 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹438.59 ₹626.55 ₹814.52 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+46.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 9%
2026 sits 110% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

AVALON screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 633 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −79.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 49.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 113.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 19.07× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.67× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 40.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 58.2× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $84.30 $84.44 +0%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,910 TWD 519.57 TWD −73%
Corning Incorporated GLW $153.76 $33.52 −78%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 250.50 TWD 293.60 TWD +17%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,507,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $218.59 $142.45 −35%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥52.00 ¥18.59 −64%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,050 TWD 787.47 TWD −84%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥137.33 ¥66.42 −52%
Celestica Inc CLS $373.09 $106.95 −71%

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Avalon Technologies Limited · Fair Value
₹450.18 −80%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avalon Technologies Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVALON

Frequently asked questions

Is Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹450.18 versus a price of ₹2,281, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVALON?
Our model-based fair value for Avalon Technologies Limited is ₹450.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹2,281.
What is the quality score of AVALON?
Avalon Technologies Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹450.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹193.42, optimistic scenario ₹566.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avalon Technologies Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹450.18, about −80% upside versus a price of ₹2,281 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹193.42, optimistic scenario ₹566.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
Avalon Technologies Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹17.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avalon Technologies Limited it is ₹450.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹2,281. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avalon Technologies Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AVALON trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹2,281, fair value ₹450.18, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVALON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹2,281); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹450.18). For Avalon Technologies Limited the two are ₹1,831 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avalon Technologies Limited worth?
The market values Avalon Technologies Limited at about ₹152B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹2,281; our models calculate a fair value of ₹450.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVALON?
Our models span a range for Avalon Technologies Limited: cautious scenario ₹193.42, base ₹450.18, optimistic ₹566.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹2,281). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVALON?
Avalon Technologies Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 113.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹450.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 19.1, P/S 7.7, EV/EBITDA 58.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avalon Technologies Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVALON from its 52-week high?
Avalon Technologies Limited trades at ₹2,281, about 10% below its 52-week high of ₹2,536 and 188% above the low of ₹792.90 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹450.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avalon Technologies Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avalon Technologies Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹2,281, calculated fair value ₹450.18 (−80%), Quality Score 63/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVALON calculated?
We run Avalon Technologies Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹450.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Avalon Technologies Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹2,281. Our model-based fair value is ₹450.18, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avalon Technologies Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹566.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (₹193.42 to ₹566.93). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Avalon Technologies Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
The market capitalisation of Avalon Technologies Limited is ₹152B (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avalon Technologies Limited is 8.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
Earnings per share at Avalon Technologies Limited are ₹20.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 113.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
The net margin of Avalon Technologies Limited is 7.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avalon Technologies Limited is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avalon Technologies Limited is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
The operating margin of Avalon Technologies Limited is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
Revenue at Avalon Technologies Limited is growing +49.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON)?
Earnings per share at Avalon Technologies Limited are growing +145% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) generate?
The free cash flow of Avalon Technologies Limited is ₹35.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) carry?
The net debt of Avalon Technologies Limited is ₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 31.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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