Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Av Gad Holdings Ltd ILS 3.65, price ILS 11.76, upside -69.0%, quality 16 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.19 ILA – 27.79 ILA · fair‑value band 2.72 ILA – 5.45 ILA · the 11.76 ILA price screens above the 3.65 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Av-Gad Holdings Ltd. engages in real estate development activities focusing on urban renewal projects in Israel. It is also involved in improving, upgrading, strengthening, and protecting residential buildings, as well as upgrading public areas and infrastructure. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.
Stock analysis
Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD) currently trades at 11.76 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.65 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 222.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 2.72 ILA (bear) to 5.45 ILA (bull), the price of 11.76 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Av Gad Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 188M ILS in FY2025 versus 96.1M ILS in FY2021, a compound +18.3%/yr. Reported net income was −10.3M ILS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 242M ILA · P/S ratio 1.22 · EPS (TTM) −0.9700 ILA · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity −18.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin 4.8% · Revenue (TTM) 212M ILA.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −69%, AVGD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2.72 ILAFair Value 3.65 ILABull 5.45 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.3% (2020) → −6.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−70% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth59% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.92× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.39× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)4· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.65 ILA versus a price of 11.76 ILA, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVGD?
Our model-based fair value for Av Gad Holdings Ltd is 3.65 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.76 ILA.
What is the quality score of AVGD?
Av Gad Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.65 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.72 ILA, optimistic scenario 5.45 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Av Gad Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.65 ILA, about −69% upside versus a price of 11.76 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.72 ILA, optimistic scenario 5.45 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
Av Gad Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 212M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Av Gad Holdings Ltd it is 3.65 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 11.76 ILA. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Av Gad Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AVGD trades above its calculated fair value: price 11.76 ILA, fair value 3.65 ILA, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVGD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.76 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.65 ILA). For Av Gad Holdings Ltd the two are 8.11 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Av Gad Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Av Gad Holdings Ltd at about 242M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 11.76 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 3.65 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVGD?
Our models span a range for Av Gad Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario 2.72 ILA, base 3.65 ILA, optimistic 5.45 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 11.76 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Av Gad Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −18.7%, debt of 1.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 16/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVGD from its 52-week high?
Av Gad Holdings Ltd trades at 11.76 ILA, about 40% below its 52-week high of 19.54 ILA and 6% above the low of 11.11 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.65 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Av Gad Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Av Gad Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 11.76 ILA, calculated fair value 3.65 ILA (−69%), Quality Score 16/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVGD calculated?
We run Av Gad Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.65 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Av Gad Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 11.76 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 3.65 ILA, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Av Gad Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.45 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (16/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.72 ILA to 5.45 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Av Gad Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
The market capitalisation of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is 242M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is 1.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
Earnings per share at Av Gad Holdings Ltd are −0.9700 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
The net margin of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is −18.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
The operating margin of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
Revenue at Av Gad Holdings Ltd is growing +59.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD)?
Earnings per share at Av Gad Holdings Ltd are growing +633% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD) generate?
The free cash flow of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is −207M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Av Gad Holdings Ltd (AVGD) carry?
The net debt of Av Gad Holdings Ltd is 300M ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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