Broadcom Inc (AVGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $1.8T
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $83.72 to $83.32 (−0.5%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +5.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($186.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($59.92 to $186.94). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $38.15 – $480.77 · fair‑value band $59.92 – $186.94 · the $389.28 price screens above the $83.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Broadcom Inc (AVGO) currently trades at $389.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $83.32, implying the stock looks roughly 78.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Broadcom Inc generated revenue of $68.3B at a net margin of 36.6%. Revenue grew 29.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.4%. Net debt stands at $49.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $59.92 (bear case) to $186.94 (bull case); at $389.28, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -79%, AVGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($153.27) versus Asset-Based ($11.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies various semiconductor devices and infrastructure software solutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software.
Full company description
Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies various semiconductor devices and infrastructure software solutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. The company offers networking connectivity, such as custom silicon solutions, ethernet switching & routing, ethernet NIC controllers, physical layer devices, and fiber optic components; wireless device connectivity, including RF semiconductor devices, connectivity solutions, custom touch controllers, and inductive charging ASICS; servers and storage system solutions, such as PCIE switches, SAS & raid products, fibre channel products, and HDD & SSD solutions; broadband solutions, includes set-top box, and broadband access; and industrial. The company also offers a private cloud software portfolio, including the VMware Cloud Foundation, Edge, vSphere foundation, telco cloud platform, private AI, live recovery, application networking and security, application development and data services; mainframe software, such as AIOPS & automation, database & data management, DEVX & DEVOPS, cybersecurity & compliance management, beyond code programs, foundational & open mainframe solutions; cybersecurity, such as endpoint, network, information, application security, and identity & access management; enterprise software; and fc san management. Its products are used in various applications in enterprise and data center networking, including artificial intelligence networking and connectivity, home connectivity, set-top boxes, broadband access, telecommunication equipment, wireless device and base stations, data center servers and storage systems, factory automation, power generation and alternative energy systems, and electronic displays. Broadcom Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Broadcom Inc reported revenue of $63.9B in FY2025 versus $27.5B in FY2021, a compound +23.5%/yr. Reported net income was $23.1B in FY2025, compounding +36.1%/yr from FY2021.
AVGO screens 79% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- How Much Upside is Left in Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)? Wall Street Analysts Think 33.73%
- Should Samsung’s US$200 Billion AI Chip Pact With Broadcom Reshape Action From AVGO Investors?
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €880.10 | €206.77 | -77% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €464.70 | €56.33 | -88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$917.50 | HK$540.01 | -41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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