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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc €118, price €564, upside -79.0%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · IT · ISIN US0079031078

AM Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc

1AMD · MI

Quality Too ExpensiveQuality growthExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.

!Fair value €118.44 · Strongly overvalued (−79.0%)
✓Quality 76/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +13.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 62/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€564.30 €57.79 Fair Value €118.44 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €57.79 – €564.30 · fair‑value band €75.20 – €179.92 · the €564.30 price screens above the €118.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company internationally. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded.

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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company internationally. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology, data processing units, field programmable gate arrays (FPGA), system on modules, AI network interface cards, and adaptive SoC products. It provides processors under the AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen AI, AMD Ryzen PRO, AMD Ryzen Threadripper, AMD Ryzen Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, and AMD PRO A-Series brands; graphics under the AMD Radeon graphics and AMD Embedded Radeon graphics; professional graphics under the AMD Radeon Pro graphics brand; and AI and general-purpose compute infrastructure for hyperscale providers. The company offers data center graphics under the AMD Instinct accelerators and Radeon PRO V-series brands; server microprocessors under the AMD EPYC brand; low power solutions under the AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, and AMD R-Series and G-Series brands; FPGA products under the Virtex-6, Virtex-7, Virtex UltraScale+, Kintex-7, Kintex UltraScale, Kintex UltraScale+, Artix-7, Artix UltraScale+, Spartan-6, and Spartan-7 brands; adaptive SOCs under the Zynq-7000, Zynq UltraScale+ MPSoC, Zynq UltraScale+ RFSoCs, Versal HBM, Versal Premium, Versal Prime, Versal AI Core, Versal AI Edge, Vitis, and Vivado brands; and compute and network acceleration board products under the Alveo and Pensando brands. It serves original equipment and design manufacturers, public cloud service providers, system integrators, distributors, and add-in-board manufacturers. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Stock analysis

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD) currently trades at €564.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €118.44, 79.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €103.08 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the €564.30 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €20.44, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €75.20 (bear) to €179.92 (bull), the price of €564.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc reported revenue of $34.6B in FY2025 versus $23.6B in FY2022, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3B in FY2025, compounding +48.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap €920B · P/E ratio 212.9 · P/S ratio 26.6 · EPS (TTM) €2.65 · Net margin 12.5% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% · Operating margin 14.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 293% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −79%, 1AMD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €75.20 Fair Value €118.44 Bull €179.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.00 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €61.19 €109.01 €242.23 71
EPV €17.64 €20.44 €22.94 71
Growth DCF €59.10 €123.05 €246.60 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €61.19 €109.01 €242.23 71
Owner Earnings €57.98 €127.37 €273.98 67
5Y Revenue Exit €31.99 €52.91 €85.93 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €52.83 €99.23 €169.96 69
5Y P/E Exit €53.07 €103.08 €165.59 66
10Y Revenue Exit €39.62 €66.33 €102.06 63
10Y EBITDA Exit €55.19 €104.79 €191.02 62
10Y P/E Exit €55.36 €105.22 €186.84 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €16.06 €104.19 €145.75 60
Lynch FV €30.27 €43.24 €56.21 58
PEG = 1.0 €30.27 €43.24 €56.21 55
EPV €17.64 €20.44 €22.94 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple €49.59 €66.12 €82.66 63
P/S Multiple €30.11 €40.15 €50.18 58
P/B Multiple €30.11 €40.15 €50.18 55
EV/EBIT €37.96 €50.04 €62.11 66
EV/EBITDA €51.00 €67.42 €83.84 67
EV/Revenue €20.05 €27.90 €35.75 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €17.16 €22.99 €34.32 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €59.10 €123.05 €246.60 70
Rev-Margin DCF €31.99 €53.97 €85.71 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income €28.17 €29.75 €32.95 68
ROIC Compounder €17.64 €20.44 €22.94 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €48.90 €69.86 €90.82 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 81
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 94/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+68.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+68.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 11%
2025 sits 225% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+62.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+44.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +58.8% a year for the price and +41.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+42.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+55.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+48.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+42.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+35.4%

1AMD screens overvalued: fair value 79% below the price. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advanced Micro Devices, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1AMD

Frequently asked questions

Is Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €118.44 versus a price of €564.30, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1AMD?
Our model-based fair value for Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is €118.44 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €564.30.
What is the quality score of 1AMD?
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €118.44 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €75.20, optimistic scenario €179.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advanced Micro Devices, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €118.44, about −79% upside versus a price of €564.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €75.20, optimistic scenario €179.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $37.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +62.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +13.6 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1AMD use?
Our models discount Advanced Micro Devices, Inc at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 2.49, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advanced Micro Devices, Inc that is +62.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Advanced Micro Devices, Inc grew +13.6 % a year. The price currently implies +62.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (+62.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.65 %: that much free cash flow Advanced Micro Devices, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advanced Micro Devices, Inc it is €118.44 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €564.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advanced Micro Devices, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 1AMD trades above its calculated fair value: price €564.30, fair value €118.44, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1AMD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€564.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€118.44). For Advanced Micro Devices, Inc the two are €445.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advanced Micro Devices, Inc worth?
The market values Advanced Micro Devices, Inc at about €920B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €564.30; our models calculate a fair value of €118.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1AMD?
Our models span a range for Advanced Micro Devices, Inc: cautious scenario €75.20, base €118.44, optimistic €179.92 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €564.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 1AMD from its 52-week high?
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc trades at €564.30, at its 52-week high of €564.30 and 293% above the low of €143.62 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €118.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advanced Micro Devices, Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advanced Micro Devices, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €564.30, calculated fair value €118.44 (−79%), Quality Score 76/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1AMD calculated?
We run Advanced Micro Devices, Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €118.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €564.30. Our model-based fair value is €118.44, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advanced Micro Devices, Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€179.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (€75.20 to €179.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The market capitalisation of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is €920B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is 212.9. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is 26.6 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Micro Devices, Inc are €2.65 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 212.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The net margin of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is 12.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is 2.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
The operating margin of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
Revenue at Advanced Micro Devices, Inc is growing +37.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (1AMD)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Micro Devices, Inc are growing +91.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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