Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 3, 2026: fair value of Advanced Info Service PCL $8.55, price $10.20, upside -16.2%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0743 – $11.00 · fair‑value band $5.99 – $11.36 · the $10.20 price screens above the $8.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited operates as a telecommunications company primarily in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Mobile Phone Services, Mobile Phone and Equipment Sales, and Datanet and Broadband Services.
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Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited operates as a telecommunications company primarily in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Mobile Phone Services, Mobile Phone and Equipment Sales, and Datanet and Broadband Services. The company offers post and prepaid services; and on top and roaming services; digital marketing services; and cloud and it solutions; cloud & data center, business network solutions, 5g and IoT, communication solutions, and data analytic and marketing solutions; digital eservices; and Mpay, digital payment management system. It is also involved in operating as a service provider of call center, international telephone, cellular telephone network, telecommunication service operator and internet, broadcasting network and television broadcasting service several channel, digital platform, insurance broker, training, internet data center services, internet and distribute internet equipment, online advertising and being the outsourced contact center, mobile content, online advertising business, as well as operation in space, land and building services, and related facilities. In addition, the company engages in developing IT systems service provider of content aggregator and outsourcing service for billing and collection; software development, distribution and general software service; developing application and digital marketing; distributing handsets; and providing software supporting high speed internet service, Voice communication, broadband Internet data, and international telephone service. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Advanced Info Service PCL DRC (AVIVF) currently trades at $10.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.55, 16.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.77 per share, and 8 of the 25 models we run sit above the $10.20 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $3.10, and 17 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $5.99 (bear) to $11.36 (bull), the price of $10.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Advanced Info Service PCL DRC reported revenue of 226B THB in FY2025 versus 181B THB in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 47.9B THB in FY2025, compounding +15.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $30.3B · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 4.15 · EPS (TTM) $0.5200 · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin 21.2% · Return on equity 48.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −16%, AVIVF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.99Fair Value $8.55Bull $11.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11.8% vs 2.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 28%
2025 sits 65% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in THB, Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.4% a year for the price and +1.8% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 237 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−16.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)48.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)22.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)31.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)19.6× · Pricier than median
P/B9.50× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advanced Info Service PCL DRC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVIVF
Frequently asked questions
Is Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.55 versus the last price from Jun 3, 2026 of $10.20, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVIVF?
Our model-based fair value for Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is $8.55 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 3, 2026): $10.20.
What is the quality score of AVIVF?
Advanced Info Service PCL DRC has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.55 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.99, optimistic scenario $11.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advanced Info Service PCL DRC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.55, about −16% upside versus the last price from Jun 3, 2026 of $10.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.99, optimistic scenario $11.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
Advanced Info Service PCL DRC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 228B THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Advanced Info Service PCL DRC pay a dividend?
Advanced Info Service PCL DRC currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.03% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advanced Info Service PCL DRC would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AVIVF use?
Our models discount Advanced Info Service PCL DRC at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.04, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advanced Info Service PCL DRC that is -0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Advanced Info Service PCL DRC grew +5.5 % a year. The price currently implies -0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advanced Info Service PCL DRC (-0.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.24 %: that much free cash flow Advanced Info Service PCL DRC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advanced Info Service PCL DRC it is $8.55 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $10.20. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advanced Info Service PCL DRC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, AVIVF trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.20, fair value $8.55, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVIVF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.55). For Advanced Info Service PCL DRC the two are $1.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advanced Info Service PCL DRC worth?
The market values Advanced Info Service PCL DRC at about $30.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $10.20; our models calculate a fair value of $8.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVIVF?
Our models span a range for Advanced Info Service PCL DRC: cautious scenario $5.99, base $8.55, optimistic $11.36 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $10.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVIVF?
Advanced Info Service PCL DRC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 9.5, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 10.3.
What is the PEG ratio of AVIVF?
The PEG ratio of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 1.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advanced Info Service PCL DRC (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 48.1%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Advanced Info Service PCL DRC?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advanced Info Service PCL DRC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $10.20, calculated fair value $8.55 (−16%), Quality Score 66/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVIVF calculated?
We run Advanced Info Service PCL DRC through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Advanced Info Service PCL DRC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 3, 2026 and stands at $10.20. Our model-based fair value is $8.55, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advanced Info Service PCL DRC right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($5.99 to $11.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF) come from?
Earnings per share at Advanced Info Service PCL DRC grew +0.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.6 %, EBIT margin −2.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC
How large is the market capitalisation of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The market capitalisation of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is $30.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 4.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Info Service PCL DRC are $0.5200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The dividend yield of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 5.0% (payout 98.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The net margin of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 21.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 48.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
The operating margin of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 31.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
Revenue at Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is growing +3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Info Service PCL DRC are growing +27.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Advanced Info Service PCL (AVIVF) carry?
The net debt of Advanced Info Service PCL DRC is 167B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026