Adani Wilmar Limited (AWL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹246B (≈ $2.6B) · ISIN INE699H01024
What is Adani Wilmar Limited really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ₹169.20.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Adani Wilmar Limited is ₹169.20 per share against a price of ₹187.40, so the fair value sits 10% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −3.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range ₹171.50 – ₹836.13 · fair‑value band ₹126.90 – ₹211.50 · the ₹187.40 price screens above the ₹169.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Adani Wilmar Limited (AWL) currently trades at ₹187.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹169.20, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹389.93 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹187.40 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹54.09, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Adani Wilmar Limited generated revenue of ₹777B at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at ₹61.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹126.90 (bear case) to ₹211.50 (bull case); at ₹187.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −10%, AWL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹3.89 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹389.93) versus Asset-Based (₹54.09). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Adani Wilmar Limited, a fast-moving consumer goods food company, provides kitchen commodities in India. It produces, refines, and sells soyabean, palm, sunflower, rice bran, mustard, groundnut, cottonseed, and blended oil; specialty fats, including industrial margarine, bakery shortenings, and vanaspati for baked products; and lauric fats for ice cream and …
Full company description
Adani Wilmar Limited, a fast-moving consumer goods food company, provides kitchen commodities in India. It produces, refines, and sells soyabean, palm, sunflower, rice bran, mustard, groundnut, cottonseed, and blended oil; specialty fats, including industrial margarine, bakery shortenings, and vanaspati for baked products; and lauric fats for ice cream and confectionery. The company also offers oleochemicals, such as stearic acids, soap noodles, palmitic acids, oleic acids, and glycerin for home and personal care products; castor oils and its derivatives comprising steric acids and ricin oleic acids for medical, pharmaceutical, cosmetic, and aeronautical use; and de-oiled cakes that are used as livestock feeds. In addition, it provides wheat flour, rice, pulses, sugar, besan, poha, rawa, suji, soya chunks, soya flour, soya grits, soya flakes, soya bari, and ready-to-cook khichdi; soaps, handwash, and sanitizers. Further, the company is involved in the bulk packaging of frying oil. It offers its products under the Fortune, King's, Raag, Bullet, Fryola, Jubilee, Aadhaar, Alpha, Avsar, Golden Chef, Kohinoor, Charminar, Trophy, and Alife brand names through Fortune Online and Fortune Mart, as well as e-commerce channels. The company exports its products to the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Africa, the United States, Canada, and internationally. Adani Wilmar Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Adani Wilmar Limited reported revenue of ₹746B in FY2026 versus ₹541B in FY2022, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹10.4B in FY2026, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $24.85 | $24.59 | −1% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $38.29 | $28.32 | −26% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
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