AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 8, 2026: fair value of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B $10.16, price $10.74, upside -5.4%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.08 – $14.85 · fair‑value band $8.25 – $12.70 · the $10.74 price screens above the $10.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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AXIA Energia SA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind farms, and solar power plants.
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AXIA Energia SA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind farms, and solar power plants. It also owns hydroelectric plants with a total capacity of 43,072.7 MW; 798.7 MW wind power plants; and 67,030.74 km of transmission lines. The company was formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás. AXIA Energia SA was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Stock analysis
AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P) currently trades at $10.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.16, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $14.37 per share, and 11 of the 25 models we run sit above the $10.74 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $6.13, and 14 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $8.25 (bear) to $12.70 (bull), the price of $10.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B reported revenue of R$41.3B in FY2025 versus R$34.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was R$6.6B in FY2025, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $24.1B · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 2.01 · EPS (TTM) $0.8500 · Dividend yield 9.4% · Net margin 15.9% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −5%, AXIA-P screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $8.25Fair Value $10.16Bull $12.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6427 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.49% → 32%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in BRL, Brazil: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 5.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.5% a year for the price and +6.3% for the forecasts.
Compare AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Return on assets2.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)21.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)43.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)9.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.52× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AXIA-P
Frequently asked questions
Is AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.16 versus the last price from Jun 8, 2026 of $10.74, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AXIA-P?
Our model-based fair value for AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is $10.16 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 8, 2026): $10.74.
What is the quality score of AXIA-P?
AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.16 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.25, optimistic scenario $12.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.16, about −5% upside versus the last price from Jun 8, 2026 of $10.74 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $8.25, optimistic scenario $12.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$43.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B pay a dividend?
AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.36% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AXIA-P use?
Our models discount AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B that is +0.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies +0.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (+0.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.52 %: that much free cash flow AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B it is $10.16 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $10.74. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, AXIA-P trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.74, fair value $10.16, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AXIA-P?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.16). For AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B the two are $0.5800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B worth?
The market values AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B at about $24.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $10.74; our models calculate a fair value of $10.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AXIA-P?
Our models span a range for AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B: cautious scenario $8.25, base $10.16, optimistic $12.70 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $10.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AXIA-P?
AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.16 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.6, P/B 1.1, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
What is the PEG ratio of AXIA-P?
The PEG ratio of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is 4.59 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
Balance-sheet figures for AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AXIA-P from its 52-week high?
AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B trades at $10.74, about 28% below its 52-week high of $14.85 and 107% above the low of $5.19 (as of Jun 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $10.74, calculated fair value $10.16 (−5%), Quality Score 66/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AXIA-P calculated?
We run AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 8, 2026 and stands at $10.74. Our model-based fair value is $10.16, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B
How large is the market capitalisation of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The market capitalisation of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is $24.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is 2.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
Earnings per share at AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B are $0.8500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The dividend yield of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is 9.4% (payout 118%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The net margin of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is 15.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
The operating margin of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is 43.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
Revenue at AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is growing +22.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P)?
Earnings per share at AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B are growing +11.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B (AXIA-P) carry?
The net debt of AXIA Energia SA Sponsored ADR Pfd Class B is R$60.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026