AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-P) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $24.2B
AXIA Energia SA
AXIA-P · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $9.67 to $9.65 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.19 – $14.85 · fair‑value band $7.24 – $12.07 · the $10.74 price screens above the $9.65 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-P) currently trades at $10.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.65, implying the stock looks roughly 10.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AXIA Energia SA generated revenue of $43.6B at a net margin of 21.9%. Revenue grew 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $60.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.24 (bear case) to $12.07 (bull case); at $10.74, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -10%, AXIA-P screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
AXIA Energia SA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind farms, and solar power plants. It also owns hydroelectric plants with a total capacity of 43,072.7 MW; 798.7 MW wind power plants; and 67,030.74 km of transmission lines. The company was formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás. AXIA Energia SA was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AXIA Energia SA reported revenue of $41.3B in FY2025 versus $34.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $6.6B in FY2025, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- From Coal Divestment to 100% Renewable, AXIA Delivers 112% Returns in 12 Months
- Axia Energia (AXIA) Q4 Adjusted Net Income Surges 141% to BRL 1.2B
- Axia Energia (AXIA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Dividends and Strategic ...
- Eletrobras (AXIA) Is a Great Choice for 'Trend' Investors, Here's Why
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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| VERBUND AG VER | €58.45 | €83.62 | +43% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$50.55 | C$27.28 | -46% |
| Fortum Oyj FOJCF | $22.95 | $10.41 | -55% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥17.99 | ¥12.93 | -28% |
| EDP Renewables, S.A EDRVF | $16.96 | $6.12 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.