Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS TRY 71.82, price TRY 23.94, upside +200.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.85 TRY – 37.71 TRY · fair‑value band 41.93 TRY – 123.84 TRY · the 23.94 TRY price screens below the 71.82 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. engages in renewable energy generation in Turkey. The company operates 20 hydroelectric, 3 wind, 1 hybrid solar and 1 geothermal power plants with a total installed capacity of 1,198 megawatts. It produces electricity using solar resources. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Merkezefendi, Turkey.
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Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. engages in renewable energy generation in Turkey. The company operates 20 hydroelectric, 3 wind, 1 hybrid solar and 1 geothermal power plants with a total installed capacity of 1,198 megawatts. It produces electricity using solar resources. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Merkezefendi, Turkey. Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. is a subsidiary of Aydem Enerji Yatirimlari Anonim Sirketi.
Stock analysis
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM) currently trades at 23.94 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 71.82 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 154.18 TRY per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the 23.94 TRY price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 9.06 TRY, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 41.93 TRY (bear) to 123.84 TRY (bull), the price of 23.94 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS reported revenue of 12.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.2B TRY in FY2021, a compound +79.6%/yr. Reported net income was −2.8B TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 16.9B TRY (≈ $343M) · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) 2.73 TRY · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin −21.7% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 200%, AYDEM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 41.93 TRYFair Value 71.82 TRYBull 123.84 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.06 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+49.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
51.0% (2020) → 17.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −18.9% a year for the price.
Compare Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 202 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.7% · Above median
Return on assets1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)15.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.57× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AYDEM
Frequently asked questions
Is Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 71.82 TRY versus a price of 23.94 TRY, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AYDEM?
Our model-based fair value for Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 71.82 TRY (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 23.94 TRY.
What is the quality score of AYDEM?
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 71.82 TRY (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 41.93 TRY, optimistic scenario 123.84 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 71.82 TRY, about +200% upside versus a price of 23.94 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 41.93 TRY, optimistic scenario 123.84 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS pay a dividend?
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.98% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS would have to grow free cash flow by -3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +57.3 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AYDEM use?
Our models discount Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS that is -3.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS grew +57.3 % a year. The price currently implies -3.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (-3.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 39.61 %: that much free cash flow Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS it is 71.82 TRY per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 23.94 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, AYDEM trades below its calculated fair value: price 23.94 TRY, fair value 71.82 TRY, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AYDEM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (23.94 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (71.82 TRY). For Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS the two are 47.88 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS worth?
The market values Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS at about 16.9B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 23.94 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 71.82 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AYDEM?
Our models span a range for Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS: cautious scenario 41.93 TRY, base 71.82 TRY, optimistic 123.84 TRY per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 23.94 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AYDEM?
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.8 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 71.82 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 4.7%, debt of 0.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AYDEM from its 52-week high?
Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS trades at 23.94 TRY, about 25% below its 52-week high of 32.00 TRY and 39% above the low of 17.28 TRY (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 71.82 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 23.94 TRY, calculated fair value 71.82 TRY (+200%), Quality Score 55/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AYDEM calculated?
We run Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 71.82 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 23.94 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 71.82 TRY, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (41.93 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (41.93 TRY to 123.84 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The market capitalisation of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 16.9B TRY (≈ $343M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 1.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
Earnings per share at Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS are 2.73 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The dividend yield of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 3.0% (payout 26.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The net margin of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is −21.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
The operating margin of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
Revenue at Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is growing +23.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +50.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM)?
Earnings per share at Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS are growing +43.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS (AYDEM) carry?
The net debt of Aydem Yenilenebilir Enerji AS is 21.9B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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