Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Acuity Brands Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $144.83 – $376.66 · fair‑value band $156.53 – $301.57 · the $302.96 price screens above the $231.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Acuity Inc. provides lighting, lighting controls, building management system, and an audio, video, and control platform in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Acuity Brands Lighting (ABL); and the Acuity Intelligent Spaces (AIS).
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Acuity Inc. provides lighting, lighting controls, building management system, and an audio, video, and control platform in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Acuity Brands Lighting (ABL); and the Acuity Intelligent Spaces (AIS). The ABL segment provides lighting solutions and luminaires with advanced electronics under the Aculux, American Electric Lighting, Cyclone, Dark to Light, eldoLED, Eureka, Fresco, Gotham, Healthcare Lighting, Holophane, Hydrel, IOTA, Juno, Lithonia Lighting, Luminaire LED, Luminis, Mark Architectural Lighting, Nightingale, nLight, Peerless, RELOC Wiring Solutions, and SensorSwitch brand names. This segment serves electrical distributors, consumer retailers, large corporate accounts, and original equipment manufacturer customers. The AIS segment offers Distech Controls intelligent Building Management Systems (BMS), such as products for controlling heating, ventilation, air conditioning, lighting, shades, refrigeration, and building access that prioritize end-user outcomes; Q-SYS, a full-stack audio, video, and control platform, and QSC Audio, an audio technology for live entertainers and sound reinforcement professionals. This segment serves retail stores, airports, universities, enterprise campuses, sports venues, themed entertainment, and hospitality sectors through system integrators. It offers its products and solutions under the Atrius, Distech Controls, QSC, and KE2 Therm Solutions brands. Acuity Inc. was formerly known as Acuity Brands, Inc. and changed its name to Acuity Inc. in March 2025. Acuity Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) currently trades at $302.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $231.98, implying the stock looks roughly 30.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $250.59 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the $302.96 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $60.99, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $156.53 (bear) to $301.57 (bull), the price of $302.96 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Acuity Brands Inc reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $397M in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.6B · P/E ratio 20.1 · P/S ratio 1.84 · EPS (TTM) $15.06 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 17.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −23%, AYI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $156.53Fair Value $231.98Bull $301.57
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($12.93 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+9.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9% vs 9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 14%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (90 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 544 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−27% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $231.98 versus a price of $302.96, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AYI?
Our model-based fair value for Acuity Brands Inc is $231.98 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $302.96.
What is the quality score of AYI?
Acuity Brands Inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $231.98 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $156.53, optimistic scenario $301.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Acuity Brands Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $231.98, about −23% upside versus a price of $302.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $156.53, optimistic scenario $301.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
Acuity Brands Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Acuity Brands Inc pay a dividend?
Acuity Brands Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Acuity Brands Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.5 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AYI use?
Our models discount Acuity Brands Inc at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Acuity Brands Inc that is +10.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Acuity Brands Inc grew +5.5 % a year. The price currently implies +10.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Acuity Brands Inc (+10.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.56 %: that much free cash flow Acuity Brands Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Acuity Brands Inc it is $231.98 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $302.96. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Acuity Brands Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, AYI trades above its calculated fair value: price $302.96, fair value $231.98, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AYI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($302.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($231.98). For Acuity Brands Inc the two are $70.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Acuity Brands Inc worth?
The market values Acuity Brands Inc at about $9.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $302.96; our models calculate a fair value of $231.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AYI?
Our models span a range for Acuity Brands Inc: cautious scenario $156.53, base $231.98, optimistic $301.57 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $302.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AYI?
Acuity Brands Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.1 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $231.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 3.7, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 14.0.
What is the PEG ratio of AYI?
The PEG ratio of Acuity Brands Inc is 1.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Acuity Brands Inc (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 17.4%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AYI from its 52-week high?
Acuity Brands Inc trades at $302.96, about 20% below its 52-week high of $379.66 and 18% above the low of $256.86 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $231.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Acuity Brands Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Acuity Brands Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $302.96, calculated fair value $231.98 (−23%), Quality Score 68/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AYI calculated?
We run Acuity Brands Inc through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $231.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Acuity Brands Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $302.96. Our model-based fair value is $231.98, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Acuity Brands Inc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($156.53 to $301.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) come from?
Earnings per share at Acuity Brands Inc grew +9.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.9 %, EBIT margin −0.3 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Acuity Brands Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The market capitalisation of Acuity Brands Inc is $9.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Acuity Brands Inc is 1.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
Earnings per share at Acuity Brands Inc are $15.06 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The dividend yield of Acuity Brands Inc is 0.2% (payout 4.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The net margin of Acuity Brands Inc is 9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Acuity Brands Inc is 17.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Acuity Brands Inc is 13.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
The operating margin of Acuity Brands Inc is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
Revenue at Acuity Brands Inc is growing +1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Acuity Brands Inc (AYI)?
Earnings per share at Acuity Brands Inc are growing +46.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) carry?
The net debt of Acuity Brands Inc is $582M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 18, 2026