Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company (AYUD) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TH · Market cap 16.3B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 79.00 THB to 84.00 THB (+6.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +8.1% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 94% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (62.99 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 22.57 THB – 44.00 THB · fair‑value band 62.99 THB – 105.00 THB · the 43.25 THB price screens below the 84.00 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company (AYUD) currently trades at 43.25 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 84.00 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 94.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company generated revenue of 13.4B THB at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.0B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 62.99 THB (bear case) to 105.00 THB (bull case); at 43.25 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 94%, AYUD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (58.14 THB) versus Asset-Based (25.22 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides non-life insurance products in Thailand. It operates through three segments: Non-Life Insurance Business, Investment Business, and Service Business. The company offers fire, marine, motor, health and personal accident, and miscellaneous insurance products.
Full company description
Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides non-life insurance products in Thailand. It operates through three segments: Non-Life Insurance Business, Investment Business, and Service Business. The company offers fire, marine, motor, health and personal accident, and miscellaneous insurance products. It also provides health services, as well as engages in the investment and service businesses. The company was formerly known as Sri Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited and changed its name to Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited in April 2019. Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company reported revenue of 10.8B THB in FY2025 versus 4.3B THB in FY2021, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.6B THB in FY2025, compounding +20.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $234.48 | $252.50 | +8% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $337.44 | $345.56 | +2% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $368.98 | $384.42 | +4% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $251.61 | $503.22 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.06 | ¥13.71 | +94% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$294.02 | C$247.44 | -16% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,327 | C$3,252 | +40% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$25.47 | A$19.42 | -24% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 648,000 KRW | 658,771 KRW | +2% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 69.80 PLN | 100.85 PLN | +44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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