Grupo Bafar, S.A. (BAFARB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 36.6B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −9.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (112.36 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (38.98 MXN to 112.36 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 35.82 MXN – 136.00 MXN · fair‑value band 38.98 MXN – 112.36 MXN · the 118.00 MXN price screens above the 80.88 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Grupo Bafar, S.A. (BAFARB) currently trades at 118.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 80.88 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 31.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Bafar, S.A. generated revenue of 25.6B MXN at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.6%. Net debt stands at 9.7B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 38.98 MXN (bear case) to 112.36 MXN (bull case); at 118.00 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -31%, BAFARB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (85.40 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (2.34 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grupo Bafar, S.A.B. de C.V. produces and sells food products in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Consumer Products, Retail, International, New Fiber, Vector, Insurance, B Insurance, and Flycapital divisions.
Full company description
Grupo Bafar, S.A.B. de C.V. produces and sells food products in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Consumer Products, Retail, International, New Fiber, Vector, Insurance, B Insurance, and Flycapital divisions. The company offers packaged meat, chicken, turkey, nuggets, tenders, and pork products; beef, salchichon, and pork and cheese; sausages, including hams and bacon under the Parma, Sabori, Country, Griller's, Country Dishes, Montebello, Bafar, Burr, Ponderosa, Perry, and Three Castles brands. It also operates BIF, Carnemart, and La Pastora stores. In addition, the company acquires, develops, and leases real estate properties. Further, it offers microcredit and business loans for commercial, agricultural, and livestock sectors. Additionally, the company offers insurance services and investments for small and medium-sized companies. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Chihuahua, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years
Grupo Bafar, S.A. reported revenue of 24.5B MXN in FY2022 versus 13.9B MXN in FY2018, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B MXN in FY2022, compounding +37.1%/yr from FY2018.
BAFARB screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
Compare Grupo Bafar, S.A. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Bafar, S.A. (BAFARB) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of BAFARB?
What is the quality score of BAFARB?
What is the revenue of Grupo Bafar, S.A. (BAFARB)?
What is the net profit margin of BAFARB?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Grupo Bafar, S.A. and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.