Bank of Ayudhya Public Company (BAY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TH · Market cap 333B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −7.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19.68 THB – 46.75 THB · fair‑value band 42.07 THB – 70.12 THB · the 41.50 THB price screens below the 56.09 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Bank of Ayudhya Public Company (BAY) currently trades at 41.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56.09 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 35.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bank of Ayudhya Public Company generated revenue of 121B THB at a net margin of 27.2%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at 114B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 42.07 THB (bear case) to 70.12 THB (bull case); at 41.50 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 35%, BAY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (56.09 THB) versus Dividend Discount (14.62 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 93
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services to individuals, corporates, small and medium-sized businesses, and financial institutions. The company operates through Retail, Commercial, and Others segments.
Full company description
Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services to individuals, corporates, small and medium-sized businesses, and financial institutions. The company operates through Retail, Commercial, and Others segments. The Retail segment offers a range of banking and related financial services, such as current and savings accounts, fixed deposits, bills of exchange, housing loans, credit cards, personal loans and sale finance loans, hire-purchase and leasing, wealth management, and bancassurance products. The Commercial segment provides financial services and products comprising a range of credit facilities, which include short-term working capital, cash management, trade finance, transactional banking, advisory services, and treasury and money markets products. It also offers refinancing, hire purchase, and leasing services; venture capital services; car rental and personnel services; collection services; mutual funds and private fund management services; factoring and information technology services; and microfinance, real estate lease, asset management, and securities services, as well as operates as a life assurance and general insurance broker. In addition, the company develops, manages, and sells non-performing assets and other assets transferred from financial institutions. Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of MUFG Bank, Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bank of Ayudhya Public Company reported revenue of 186B THB in FY2025 versus 125B THB in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was 31.7B THB in FY2025, compounding −1.6%/yr from FY2021.
Watch BAY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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