Banque Cantonale de Genève SA (BCGE) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CH · Market cap CHF 2.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −5.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 26% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from CHF 30.08 (bear) to CHF 50.14 (bull), base CHF 40.11. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 38/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 13.76 – CHF 36.16 · fair‑value band CHF 30.08 – CHF 50.14 · the CHF 31.80 price screens below the CHF 40.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Banque Cantonale de Genève SA (BCGE) currently trades at CHF 31.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 40.11, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Banque Cantonale de Genève SA generated revenue of CHF 531M at a net margin of 41.6%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at CHF 3.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 30.08 (bear case) to CHF 50.14 (bull case); at CHF 31.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 26%, BCGE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 40.11) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 8.87). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Banque Cantonale de Genève SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of banking services in Switzerland and internationally. The company operates through three main business divisions: Individuals & Digital Banking, Corporate Banking & Trade Finance, and Wealth & Asset Management.
Full company description
Banque Cantonale de Genève SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of banking services in Switzerland and internationally. The company operates through three main business divisions: Individuals & Digital Banking, Corporate Banking & Trade Finance, and Wealth & Asset Management. The Individuals & Digital Banking division manages a network of agencies and provides retail banking products, including current and savings accounts, mortgages, personal loans, payment cards, and digital banking services. The Corporate Banking & Trade Finance division offers commercial loans, project finance, real estate and construction financing, trade finance solutions, and services to public authorities and financial institutions, as well as commodities trading support. The Wealth & Asset Management division provides discretionary and advisory portfolio management, investment funds, asset management, and wealth solutions tailored for private and institutional clients. It also offers structured products, research, and services for independent wealth managament. In addition, the company engages in investment activities, business valuation and M&A advisory, asset management, private equity investments, and foreign fund representation. The company serves private individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises, large corporates, institutional investors, and public sector entities. The company was founded in 1816 and is headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Banque Cantonale de Genève SA reported revenue of CHF 746M in FY2025 versus CHF 468M in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 221M in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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